Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 6?
No won
Total volume
$486
Trades
35
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 20:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 3% YES on $412)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $0 | $14 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $9 | $103 | $94 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $2 | $262 | $260 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $22 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $2 | $60 | $59 |
| Median | 3 | — | $65 | $65 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $94 | $94 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $5 | $172 | $167 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | +140 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 05-06 19:44 |
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | +71 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-06 15:57 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +65 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-06 16:21 |
| Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-06 16:21 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-06 14:14 |
| Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 19:40 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-06 20:38 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4de5…1870 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 14:23 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 15:57 |
| Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 15:37 |
| Sweltering-Spell 0x8581…7be6 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 13:13 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 19:40 |
| Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 19:55 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 19:55 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e8b…d264 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 19:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 20:38:22 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x234123… |
| 05-06 20:38:22 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x234123… |
| 05-06 20:00:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ae862… |
| 05-06 20:00:03 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0x1ae862… |
| 05-06 20:00:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ae862… |
| 05-06 19:55:02 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3d2db4… |
| 05-06 19:55:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d2db4… |
| 05-06 19:55:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2cb4c… |
| 05-06 19:55:02 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc2cb4c… |
| 05-06 19:44:37 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xe325ef… |
| 05-06 19:44:37 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xe325ef… |
| 05-06 19:40:09 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x921b65… |
| 05-06 19:40:09 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3bbfd2… |
| 05-06 19:40:09 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x921b65… |
| 05-06 19:40:09 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3bbfd2… |
| 05-06 16:21:14 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x1b5907… |
| 05-06 16:21:14 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1b5907… |
| 05-06 15:57:26 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8319c4… |
| 05-06 15:57:26 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x8319c4… |
| 05-06 15:57:25 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xdc6098… |
| 05-06 15:57:25 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdc6098… |
| 05-06 15:57:14 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x73f7cd… |
| 05-06 15:57:14 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x73f7cd… |
| 05-06 15:37:42 | Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x572047… |
| 05-06 15:37:42 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x572047… |
| 05-06 14:34:14 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xc5d97c… |
| 05-06 14:34:14 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xc5d97c… |
| 05-06 14:23:19 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf19841… |
| 05-06 14:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x4de5…1870 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xf19841… |
| 05-06 14:14:14 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1d6729… |
| 05-06 14:14:14 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x1d6729… |
| 05-06 13:13:40 | Sweltering-Spell 0x8581…7be6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x34d2a4… |
| 05-06 13:13:40 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x34d2a4… |
| 05-05 19:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x4e8b…d264 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2a82f4… |
| 05-05 19:38:00 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2a82f4… |