Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 10?
Yes won
Total volume
$800
Trades
63
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 20:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $21 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $633 | $66 | +$567 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $47 | $19 | +$27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $520 | $12 | +$508 |
| Median | 4 | $26 | $4 | +$22 |
| Below median | 14 | $23 | $16 | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $21 | $16 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-10 10:31 |
| Antique-Motor 0xc4cc…2a5e | Yes | +186 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 05-10 10:46 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | +139 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-10 12:37 |
| Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | No | +90 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:16 |
| Bronze-Tension 0xda91…d760 | No | +78 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +60 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-10 20:24 |
| Decent-Clip 0xa595…cdf1 | No | +57 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 12:51 |
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 11:57 |
| International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-10 13:36 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +24 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | +22 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-10 07:56 |
| First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | +21 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 08:14 |
| Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 10:30 |
| Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 06:03 |
| Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:18 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-10 08:13 |
| Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 19:28 |
| Complete-Accordance 0x1907…ac1a | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:23 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 11:30 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 09:04 |
| Sizzling-Jury 0x7d66…a545 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:01 |
| Simple-Lecture-Pavilion 0x9781…7806 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:14 |
| Worn-Weasel 0xa3e1…689e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 12:41 |
| Worse-Characteristic 0x791c…f146 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Pertinent-Reason 0xeb44…dc60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 05:36 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 06:23 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:59 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 04:08 |
| Idle-Lychee 0xe9bc…a5ba | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:25 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 20:24:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2181f… |
| 05-10 19:28:43 | Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xce41e1… |
| 05-10 16:14:16 | Simple-Lecture-Pavilion 0x9781…7806 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdcacbe… |
| 05-10 13:36:11 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5b27f0… |
| 05-10 13:35:59 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3a6d32… |
| 05-10 13:35:48 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcec1c5… |
| 05-10 12:51:37 | Decent-Clip 0xa595…cdf1 | No | BUY | 57 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x69f40f… |
| 05-10 12:41:07 | Worn-Weasel 0xa3e1…689e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcb76c6… |
| 05-10 12:37:25 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | BUY | 132 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x17ec0b… |
| 05-10 12:31:00 | Bronze-Tension 0xda91…d760 | No | BUY | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x254b16… |
| 05-10 12:16:46 | Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | No | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf5856e… |
| 05-10 12:05:25 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb331d… |
| 05-10 11:57:17 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xcea109… |
| 05-10 11:30:32 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x2256d3… |
| 05-10 11:06:09 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xef56e5… |
| 05-10 11:06:09 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x04ef2d… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbdfc8b… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x04b049… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8945c0… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x02d826… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa00d6e… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd2547b… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0fabf4… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb3aec… |
| 05-10 10:46:12 | Antique-Motor 0xc4cc…2a5e | Yes | BUY | 186 | 99¢ | $185 | 0xac981e… |
| 05-10 10:31:09 | Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x5b675f… |
| 05-10 10:30:39 | Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x049bba… |
| 05-10 10:21:19 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd5945f… |
| 05-10 09:23:22 | Complete-Accordance 0x1907…ac1a | No | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6cc3eb… |
| 05-10 09:09:52 | Worse-Characteristic 0x791c…f146 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf20608… |
| 05-10 09:06:46 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xcd137e… |
| 05-10 09:04:59 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xbdabe6… |
| 05-10 09:04:56 | Direct-Golf 0x6e41…5e0c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x7502f2… |
| 05-10 09:02:34 | Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xc598bd… |
| 05-10 08:23:24 | Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | SELL | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0x35d06e… |
| 05-10 08:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xfb2458… |
| 05-10 08:14:16 | First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x72e33c… |
| 05-10 08:13:50 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x471f66… |
| 05-10 08:03:55 | First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x26bf6b… |
| 05-10 07:59:43 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xa3573d… |
| 05-10 07:58:29 | Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xc9157e… |
| 05-10 07:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x5ac0b8… |
| 05-10 06:58:38 | Drafty-Timbale 0x0f8e…6e05 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6d54f3… |
| 05-10 06:58:02 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x356ad6… |
| 05-10 06:58:02 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x0605d3… |
| 05-10 06:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x86e8ba… |
| 05-10 06:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x44e169… |
| 05-10 06:52:24 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 24 | 87¢ | $21 | 0xa36ba9… |
| 05-10 06:52:24 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xe64b36… |
| 05-10 06:21:36 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x748dd0… |
| 05-10 06:03:22 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xe47d33… |
| 05-10 06:01:37 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x7e943f… |
| 05-10 05:43:08 | Severe-Intentionality 0xc4f9…8d24 | No | SELL | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x17f50d… |
| 05-10 05:36:32 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x15a5fc… |
| 05-10 05:27:28 | Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | SELL | 55 | 22¢ | $12 | 0x7bc42d… |
| 05-10 04:08:45 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xb3f4be… |
| 05-10 03:25:07 | Idle-Lychee 0xe9bc…a5ba | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xa3cad4… |
| 05-10 01:01:17 | Sizzling-Jury 0x7d66…a545 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x7c5fe0… |
| 05-10 00:09:10 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xc6b24b… |
| 05-09 12:00:30 | Pertinent-Reason 0xeb44…dc60 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa4c41b… |
| 05-09 12:00:14 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x01959c… |
| 05-08 08:29:25 | Exciting-Play 0x4413…e79f | No | SELL | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x7e3411… |
| 05-08 06:23:51 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x2f215b… |