Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$419
$839 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$1,736
Latest YES mid
71¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 04:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-60.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $43
vs crowd: 61% YES on $391)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $46 | $46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $238 | $107 | +$131 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $62 | $4 | +$58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| Median | 7 | $10 | $49 | $39 |
| Below median | 14 | $89 | $36 | +$52 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $35 | $6 | +$28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mindless-Flexibility 0xbb27…cc9d | Yes | +108 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-10 04:11 |
| Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | +89 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +84 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 03:08 |
| Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | +66 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 04:01 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +60 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | +50 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | +36 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 02:51 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +14 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-10 03:47 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 02:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb537…14cc | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 06:04 |
| Murky-Screwup 0x8f5d…3384 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 07:45 |
| Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 03:24 |
| Ethical-Illiteracy 0xa8d4…77fe | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 01:38 |
| Zealous-Samovar 0x19f4…c772 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 04:01 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:23 |
| Immediate-Organizing 0xf910…5912 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:38 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:04 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:06 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:03 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:53 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 03:06 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 16:49 |
| Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x87cc…c1b0 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| Qualified-Caddy 0xf229…3058 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:01 |
| Cool-Heat 0xdaef…f49c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:36 |
| Oily-Vulture 0xa520…9719 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:35 |
| Functional-Legacy 0xb72f…7af1 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 04:11:33 | Mindless-Flexibility 0xbb27…cc9d | Yes | BUY | 108 | 71¢ | $76 | 0x15056c… |
| 05-10 04:05:11 | Mindless-Angina 0x2b76…2798 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xc52b49… |
| 05-10 04:01:43 | Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | BUY | 66 | 30¢ | $20 | 0x497608… |
| 05-10 04:01:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x8c6a23… |
| 05-10 03:52:12 | Mindless-Angina 0x2b76…2798 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x03a72f… |
| 05-10 03:51:36 | Affectionate-March 0xb541…1852 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xdd1d9a… |
| 05-10 03:47:45 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x1ecb46… |
| 05-10 03:46:12 | Mindless-Angina 0x2b76…2798 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x6fd2e0… |
| 05-10 03:40:38 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xa7d6d0… |
| 05-10 03:38:44 | Immediate-Organizing 0xf910…5912 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x2648f5… |
| 05-10 03:36:38 | Cool-Heat 0xdaef…f49c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x4d249a… |
| 05-10 03:24:30 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | No | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x8a981f… |
| 05-10 03:23:57 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x4643c7… |
| 05-10 03:08:55 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | BUY | 84 | 30¢ | $25 | 0xcf9f49… |
| 05-10 03:06:09 | Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x6ccd79… |
| 05-10 03:05:18 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x11690c… |
| 05-10 03:01:54 | Qualified-Caddy 0xf229…3058 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x555221… |
| 05-10 02:57:24 | Functional-Legacy 0xb72f…7af1 | No | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x5fcdd2… |
| 05-10 02:57:01 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xd54b82… |
| 05-10 02:56:51 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x85a792… |
| 05-10 02:56:42 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 70¢ | $62 | 0xc21be9… |
| 05-10 02:56:42 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 83¢ | $30 | 0x2dd6d1… |
| 05-10 02:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x87cc…c1b0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xfd1d11… |
| 05-10 02:56:42 | Oily-Vulture 0xa520…9719 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x45879b… |
| 05-10 02:53:58 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xa6c601… |
| 05-10 02:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x216d55… |
| 05-10 02:35:26 | Zealous-Samovar 0x19f4…c772 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x69b4ab… |
| 05-10 02:30:57 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x38e354… |
| 05-10 02:07:00 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x49895c… |
| 05-10 01:38:50 | Ethical-Illiteracy 0xa8d4…77fe | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x998cd0… |
| 05-09 23:01:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x4c8a06… |
| 05-09 22:35:22 | Guilty-Junker 0xa70d…63be | No | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xe61b07… |
| 05-09 21:46:48 | Unequaled-Shack 0x57b6…9e63 | No | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xba17a9… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc2dd06… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x70d998… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xd0bdba… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x69fb92… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xe1fe84… |
| 05-09 19:12:22 | Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x1706fa… |
| 05-09 16:49:57 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x1d16f8… |
| 05-09 15:47:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x16a2ca… |
| 05-09 14:43:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb1913f… |
| 05-09 14:43:45 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x6fb9d3… |
| 05-09 14:43:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xe5ab82… |
| 05-09 07:09:46 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xebac81… |
| 05-09 07:04:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x819557… |
| 05-09 02:25:36 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 32¢ | $4 | 0xac6f29… |
| 05-09 02:25:34 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xdc3b82… |
| 05-09 01:20:21 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x989b7e… |
| 05-08 23:06:41 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xf6670d… |
| 05-08 12:04:47 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x3f6e5d… |
| 05-08 07:45:49 | Murky-Screwup 0x8f5d…3384 | No | BUY | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0xbc5252… |
| 05-08 07:40:48 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x199acf… |
| 05-08 07:03:07 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xe3ea73… |
| 05-08 06:04:10 | (anonymous) 0xb537…14cc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x15d2d8… |
| 05-08 05:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xcbf2bb… |
| 05-08 05:14:10 | Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x48168c… |