Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$431
$1,359 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$3,388
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 14:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | — | $330 | $330 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $102 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $85 | $85 |
| Median | 10 | — | $188 | $188 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | +139 | $139 | $139 | 5 | 05-07 04:43 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 4 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-06 13:37 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-07 07:03 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-08 05:44 |
| Hearty-Governor 0xe581…e355 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 21:06 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 04:10 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Calculating-Quill 0xa5e6…b340 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 07:03 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 17:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 14:25:11 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xdea222… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2c3f4e… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea9ab3… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6298bf… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf800a5… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0d3dd8… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35376d… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53ad93… |
| 05-08 12:49:38 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd9be2… |
| 05-08 12:49:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b5a71… |
| 05-08 12:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x506367… |
| 05-08 11:34:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5261e8… |
| 05-08 11:34:43 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x0fff07… |
| 05-08 10:00:27 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xad6e74… |
| 05-08 09:40:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x46f0b3… |
| 05-08 07:03:29 | Calculating-Quill 0xa5e6…b340 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe5b826… |
| 05-08 05:44:13 | Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x18b495… |
| 05-08 04:10:39 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xca7241… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a865f… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8362d… |
| 05-07 21:36:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd170b7… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f0d51… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x215ac7… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e0afe… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb8204e… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe1998b… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c9bdd… |
| 05-07 14:44:48 | Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xbcf0aa… |
| 05-07 11:16:03 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x915b3b… |
| 05-07 07:54:29 | Webbed-Fava 0x1425…d60d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17cfa2… |
| 05-07 07:03:27 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4bf789… |
| 05-07 07:03:09 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd45839… |
| 05-07 04:43:21 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6a6ef0… |
| 05-07 04:43:11 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x52e53b… |
| 05-07 04:43:09 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xc79a60… |
| 05-07 04:43:04 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x2d6d15… |
| 05-07 04:43:00 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0xd24ab6… |
| 05-06 21:06:19 | Hearty-Governor 0xe581…e355 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcc2ac2… |
| 05-06 17:51:45 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x190792… |
| 05-06 17:06:50 | Unfolded-Psychology 0x36f4…7518 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x781ddc… |
| 05-06 13:37:34 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x470346… |