Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$63
Trades
42
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$442
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-09 16:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | $27 | $25 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $11 | $6 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $3 | $27 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +35 | $27 | $27 | 9 | 06-09 08:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 06-09 07:16 |
| Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | +17 | $8 | $12 | 16 | 06-09 16:26 |
| Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 07:16 |
| Flickering-Gesture-Retreat 0x4459…4117 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 23:31 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 01:29 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 01:29 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 19:00 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 16:26 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 19:00 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 06-03 23:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 16:26:09 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1b0715… |
| 06-09 16:26:09 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1b0715… |
| 06-09 08:00:09 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x982010… |
| 06-09 08:00:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x982010… |
| 06-09 07:16:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe996d3… |
| 06-09 07:16:07 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe996d3… |
| 06-09 07:00:06 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xfe8f03… |
| 06-09 07:00:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xfe8f03… |
| 06-09 05:16:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x765a8e… |
| 06-09 05:16:09 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x765a8e… |
| 06-09 04:00:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x526844… |
| 06-09 04:00:06 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x526844… |
| 06-09 03:00:09 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb76f80… |
| 06-09 03:00:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb76f80… |
| 06-09 02:00:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x5f48ee… |
| 06-09 02:00:10 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x5f48ee… |
| 06-09 02:00:06 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x654e25… |
| 06-09 02:00:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x654e25… |
| 06-09 01:00:06 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x3fc64a… |
| 06-09 01:00:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x3fc64a… |
| 06-08 19:00:06 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x49ab99… |
| 06-08 19:00:06 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x49ab99… |
| 06-08 18:00:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xa98575… |
| 06-08 18:00:07 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xa98575… |
| 06-08 17:05:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1dfab5… |
| 06-08 17:05:36 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1dfab5… |
| 06-07 19:00:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x93f65b… |
| 06-07 19:00:07 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x93f65b… |
| 06-07 12:25:10 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x3e79bb… |
| 06-07 12:25:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x3e79bb… |
| 06-07 12:00:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xeeaab4… |
| 06-07 12:00:10 | Sarcastic-Spite-Quartet 0xa5c4…2173 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xeeaab4… |
| 06-07 09:14:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x61b5ce… |
| 06-07 09:14:13 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x61b5ce… |
| 06-07 09:13:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x57ec06… |
| 06-07 09:13:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x57ec06… |
| 06-04 01:29:48 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc5cfe8… |
| 06-04 01:29:48 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xc5cfe8… |
| 06-03 23:31:25 | Flickering-Gesture-Retreat 0x4459…4117 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4b5ea3… |
| 06-03 23:31:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4b5ea3… |
| 06-03 07:16:47 | Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xfa5e8c… |
| 06-03 07:16:47 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfa5e8c… |