ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$32,878

Trades

958

Unique wallets

124

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-06-20

First seen

2026-06-12

last 06-13 07:11

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +6,817 Attentive-Crewman +3,665 Vigilant-Environment +1,535 Physical-Enjoyment +1,222 Caring-Memory +1,026 Same-Pound +995 Difficult-Artificer +625 (anon) +500

NO holders

Numb-Ramie +7,211 Physical-Enjoyment +4,220 Past-Punishment +2,385 (anon) +2,020 Yawning-Chicken +1,177 (anon) +843 Firsthand-Eaglet +492 Sympathetic-Back +477

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +3.5¢ (top1%: 52% YES on $17.2K vs crowd: 48% YES on $27.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	29	$10.5K	$12.9K	$2.4K
🐬 Dolphin	42	$2.0K	$920	+$1.0K
🐟 Fish	35	$997	$310	+$687
🦐 Shrimp	18	$21	$193	$172

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	25	$9.0K	$8.3K	+$694
🏆 Top 5%	23	$669	$191	+$478
✅ Top 10%	9	$482	$60	+$422
Median	5	$6	$157	$151
Below median	11	$54	$114	$61
⚠️ Bottom 10%	17	$424	$144	+$280
🔻 Bottom 5%	14	$250	$358	$108
💀 Bottom 1%	20	$2.7K	$5.1K	$2.4K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Numb-Ramie 0x6982…a165	Alan Magadan	+7,211	$5,841	$5,841	1	06-13 05:07
(anonymous) 0xc07d…b1df	Naoya Honda	+6,817	$1,619	$5,289	134	06-13 06:42
Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3	Alan Magadan	+4,220	$2,628	$2,628	134	06-13 06:42
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	Naoya Honda	+3,665	$696	$696	7	06-13 05:09
Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99	Alan Magadan	+2,385	$386	$386	6	06-13 06:39
(anonymous) 0xc07d…b1df	Alan Magadan	+2,020	$894	$2,362	58	06-13 06:21
Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de	Naoya Honda	+1,535	$885	$885	6	06-13 06:13
Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3	Naoya Honda	+1,222	$833	$833	38	06-13 06:43
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	Alan Magadan	+1,177	$950	$950	11	06-13 06:37
Caring-Memory 0x13f0…a50f	Naoya Honda	+1,026	$1,025	$1,025	5	06-13 07:11
Same-Pound 0x8e52…2320	Naoya Honda	+995	$983	$983	3	06-13 06:53
(anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35	Alan Magadan	+843	$141	$141	18	06-13 06:43
Difficult-Artificer 0x7462…3ac3	Naoya Honda	+625	$416	$416	3	06-13 06:13
(anonymous) 0xd034…eece	Naoya Honda	+500	$225	$225	6	06-13 00:33
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	Alan Magadan	+492	$127	$127	26	06-13 06:43
Anxious-Brooch 0x10bc…0b14	Naoya Honda	+482	$462	$462	2	06-13 06:36
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Alan Magadan	+477	$241	$268	26	06-13 06:38
Trivial-Player 0xbfd7…f0bf	Naoya Honda	+448	$312	$312	7	06-13 06:34
Magnificent-Thorn 0xff8c…142e	Naoya Honda	+419	$393	$393	1	06-13 06:39
Wrong-Promotion 0x775d…6beb	Alan Magadan	+411	$233	$233	1	06-13 00:33
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Naoya Honda	+404	$113	$313	32	06-13 06:29
Muted-Comedy 0xc98f…a13f	Naoya Honda	+340	$330	$330	17	06-13 06:41
Flat-Pelt 0xf006…bb6c	Naoya Honda	+290	$133	$133	10	06-12 22:57
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	Naoya Honda	+285	$129	$129	14	06-13 06:42
(anonymous) 0x3054…055b	Naoya Honda	+265	$200	$200	4	06-13 06:21
Critical-Hazel 0xfb77…1c78	Alan Magadan	+265	$88	$88	3	06-13 06:16
Unfinished-Codepage 0x133a…504a	Alan Magadan	+248	$84	$84	3	06-13 06:16
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	Alan Magadan	+232	$104	$113	37	06-13 06:43
Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f	Alan Magadan	+224	$122	$122	16	06-13 06:19
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	Naoya Honda	+215	$112	$112	29	06-13 06:42
Sophisticated-Spruce 0x3cad…92f0	Naoya Honda	+205	$48	$48	2	06-13 05:44
Sophisticated-Spruce 0x3cad…92f0	Alan Magadan	+202	$73	$73	3	06-13 06:16
(anonymous) 0x7547…d158	Naoya Honda	+195	$82	$82	7	06-13 02:46
Impish-Race 0x6318…46b1	Naoya Honda	+186	$80	$80	3	06-13 00:33
Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f	Naoya Honda	+182	$106	$106	10	06-13 06:35
Frivolous-Edge 0xcdd2…868f	Alan Magadan	+176	$97	$97	1	06-12 23:45
Victorious-Tritone 0x14e7…a32c	Alan Magadan	+166	$108	$108	5	06-13 04:53
Sweaty-Daddy-Sense 0x52a0…ec9d	Alan Magadan	+164	$100	$100	1	06-12 21:10
Bare-Synonym-Goggles 0xef29…2f1e	Naoya Honda	+155	$126	$126	3	06-13 06:22
Unfinished-Codepage 0x133a…504a	Naoya Honda	+153	$25	$175	3	06-13 06:04
Critical-Hazel 0xfb77…1c78	Naoya Honda	+127	$33	$33	2	06-13 05:44
(anonymous) 0x52be…801e	Alan Magadan	+121	$100	$100	1	06-13 05:02
Wild-Responsibility 0xe24e…eece	Naoya Honda	+115	$100	$100	1	06-13 06:21
Loathsome-Simplification 0xa44a…88ec	Alan Magadan	+112	$61	$61	1	06-12 22:41
Stormy-Responsibility 0x326d…3584	Alan Magadan	+110	$90	$90	15	06-13 06:02
Educated-Anybody 0x2bf3…4f00	Naoya Honda	+109	$65	$65	1	06-13 06:13
Bountiful-Defeat 0x6553…7a71	Alan Magadan	+105	$59	$59	3	06-12 21:13
Victorious-Tritone 0x14e7…a32c	Naoya Honda	+103	$37	$37	7	06-13 05:31
Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99	Naoya Honda	+97	$12	$12	9	06-13 05:53
Stormy-Responsibility 0x326d…3584	Naoya Honda	+89	$15	$15	5	06-13 05:59
Happy-Supernatural 0x8e69…553a	Naoya Honda	+85	$50	$50	1	06-13 06:13
Happy-Supernatural 0x8e69…553a	Alan Magadan	+79	$50	$50	1	06-13 04:38
Sympathetic-Minute-Nitrogen 0xacee…afdd	Alan Magadan	+71	$60	$60	1	06-13 05:17
(anonymous) 0xdfb4…da3c	Alan Magadan	+58	$40	$40	2	06-13 05:43
Ragged-Intentionality 0x6bca…fb54	Alan Magadan	+55	$8	$8	2	06-13 06:39
Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f	Alan Magadan	+53	$30	$30	5	06-13 06:01
Negligible-Resume 0xe50b…c2a8	Alan Magadan	+50	$28	$28	1	06-12 22:28
Closed-Wildlife-Approval 0x9991…36b8	Alan Magadan	+50	$37	$37	1	06-13 05:53
Immense-Resemblance 0x6770…5bdf	Alan Magadan	+49	$38	$38	1	06-13 05:36
Threadbare-Philosophy 0x966f…13a7	Alan Magadan	+47	$10	$10	3	06-13 06:34