Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,020,000 and $1,040,000 by March 1?
No won
Total volume
$233
Trades
36
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-03-01
First seen
2026-02-12
last 03-01 15:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $93
vs crowd: 4% YES on $233)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $31 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $7 | $116 | $109 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | $72 | $69 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $0 | $92 | $92 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 03-01 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xed71…d7ce | No | +60 | $54 | $54 | 4 | 02-16 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x26a4…5593 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 03-01 05:13 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 03-01 05:13 |
| Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 03-01 14:27 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 02-28 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-12 09:55 |
| Scaly-Waiter 0x3a90…a100 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-12 09:55 |
| Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 02-16 18:51 |
| Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-28 20:23 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 02-28 00:07 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 02-28 00:14 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 02-28 20:23 |
| Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-01 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4b5…c8a9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-01 15:11 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 02-28 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cf2…9bd0 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 02-28 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xecaa…34d2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-28 00:14 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-01 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4004…68f2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-14 21:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 15:11:33 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x83ab0a… |
| 03-01 15:11:33 | (anonymous) 0xe4b5…c8a9 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x83ab0a… |
| 03-01 14:27:39 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xc4d27a… |
| 03-01 14:27:39 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4d27a… |
| 03-01 14:27:39 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4d27a… |
| 03-01 05:13:09 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc5ff3… |
| 03-01 05:13:09 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc5ff3… |
| 03-01 05:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x26a4…5593 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xdc5ff3… |
| 02-28 23:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x9cf2…9bd0 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x7ecd74… |
| 02-28 23:13:31 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ecd74… |
| 02-28 20:23:27 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xc7b015… |
| 02-28 20:23:27 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc7b015… |
| 02-28 20:23:27 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc7b015… |
| 02-28 00:14:31 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x620ce6… |
| 02-28 00:14:31 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x620ce6… |
| 02-28 00:14:31 | (anonymous) 0xecaa…34d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x620ce6… |
| 02-28 00:14:23 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe41d84… |
| 02-28 00:14:23 | Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xe41d84… |
| 02-28 00:14:09 | oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x08430f… |
| 02-28 00:14:09 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x08430f… |
| 02-28 00:07:17 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x66fb80… |
| 02-28 00:07:17 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x66fb80… |
| 02-28 00:05:43 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x97f589… |
| 02-28 00:05:43 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x97f589… |
| 02-16 18:51:01 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbab213… |
| 02-16 18:51:01 | (anonymous) 0xed71…d7ce | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xbab213… |
| 02-16 18:51:01 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbab213… |
| 02-15 21:56:39 | (anonymous) 0xed71…d7ce | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe67590… |
| 02-15 21:56:39 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xe67590… |
| 02-14 21:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x4004…68f2 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x8cb51d… |
| 02-14 21:26:59 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8cb51d… |
| 02-14 05:17:27 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x320902… |
| 02-14 05:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xed71…d7ce | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x320902… |
| 02-12 09:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xed71…d7ce | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x6c0789… |
| 02-12 09:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6c0789… |
| 02-12 09:55:13 | Scaly-Waiter 0x3a90…a100 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6c0789… |