Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on November 2?
No won
Total volume
$2,440
$2,423 in 24h
Trades
84
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-02
First seen
2026-11-01
last 11-02 20:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.4¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $51 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $163 | — | +$163 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $2 | $45 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $26 | $10 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $188 | $1.1K | $933 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $84 | $84 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 4 | $13 | $30 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $17 | $6 | +$11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | $48 | $40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +440 | $405 | $405 | 5 | 11-02 19:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +240 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-02 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c33…b1ef | Yes | +199 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-02 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +80 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 11-02 20:42 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | +75 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 11-02 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 11-02 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | +32 | -$126 | $449 | 14 | 11-02 18:53 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-02 20:42 |
| Breakable-Amazement 0x969f…4d55 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-02 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfa7…4206 | Yes | +18 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-02 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfa7…4206 | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-02 14:32 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-02 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2497…4d4c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-02 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2497…4d4c | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-02 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-02 19:26 |
| Snappy-Daylight 0xdbbf…fb9f | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-01 23:18 |
| Tricky-Prohibition 0x43d7…77ed | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-02 15:51 |
| Breakable-Amazement 0x969f…4d55 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-02 15:40 |
| Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5 | Yes | +5 | -$6 | $8 | 5 | 11-02 19:39 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-02 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x828c…86da | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-02 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | +1 | $10 | $26 | 9 | 11-02 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-02 14:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 11-02 08:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 20:42:12 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x096beb… |
| 11-02 20:42:12 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x801189… |
| 11-02 20:42:12 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x801189… |
| 11-02 20:42:12 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x096beb… |
| 11-02 20:42:12 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x096beb… |
| 11-02 20:42:10 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xb28f91… |
| 11-02 20:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb28f91… |
| 11-02 19:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x828c…86da | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf10194… |
| 11-02 19:39:52 | Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf10194… |
| 11-02 19:26:00 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 169 | 93¢ | $157 | 0xba6ac7… |
| 11-02 19:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xba6ac7… |
| 11-02 19:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xba6ac7… |
| 11-02 19:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x7c33…b1ef | Yes | BUY | 199 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xba6ac7… |
| 11-02 18:53:06 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | BUY | 31 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xb63236… |
| 11-02 18:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 31 | 81¢ | $25 | 0xb63236… |
| 11-02 18:40:55 | Breakable-Amazement 0x969f…4d55 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x465965… |
| 11-02 18:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x465965… |
| 11-02 17:30:39 | (anonymous) 0xabe6…5723 | No | SELL | 3 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x462fdc… |
| 11-02 17:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x462fdc… |
| 11-02 15:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x37a9e4… |
| 11-02 15:51:36 | Tricky-Prohibition 0x43d7…77ed | Yes | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x37a9e4… |
| 11-02 15:43:54 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb0adbe… |
| 11-02 15:43:54 | Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xc0d144… |
| 11-02 15:43:54 | Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xb0adbe… |
| 11-02 15:43:54 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc0d144… |
| 11-02 15:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | SELL | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x5dfc15… |
| 11-02 15:43:10 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x5dfc15… |
| 11-02 15:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x7cc3c7… |
| 11-02 15:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x1f98…298c | No | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x7cc3c7… |
| 11-02 15:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x2497…4d4c | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xb9e41b… |
| 11-02 15:40:27 | Breakable-Amazement 0x969f…4d55 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xb9e41b… |
| 11-02 14:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1cb8e2… |
| 11-02 14:59:00 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1cb8e2… |
| 11-02 14:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa71617… |
| 11-02 14:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x1f98…298c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa71617… |
| 11-02 14:51:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 240 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xac43a5… |
| 11-02 14:51:40 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 240 | 93¢ | $223 | 0xac43a5… |
| 11-02 14:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfde63d… |
| 11-02 14:50:30 | Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0af1dc… |
| 11-02 14:50:30 | Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfde63d… |
| 11-02 14:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0af1dc… |
| 11-02 14:50:00 | (anonymous) 0x2497…4d4c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe447cf… |
| 11-02 14:50:00 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe447cf… |
| 11-02 14:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x2497…4d4c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe9e181… |
| 11-02 14:49:34 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe9e181… |
| 11-02 14:43:34 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 191 | 23¢ | $44 | 0xbe411e… |
| 11-02 14:43:34 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 191 | 77¢ | $147 | 0xbe411e… |
| 11-02 14:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x90b9aa… |
| 11-02 14:43:15 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x90b9aa… |
| 11-02 14:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | BUY | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xdb529f… |
| 11-02 14:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | No | SELL | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xdb529f… |
| 11-02 14:35:39 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | No | SELL | 1 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xd27384… |
| 11-02 14:35:39 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xd27384… |
| 11-02 14:32:51 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 346 | 60¢ | $208 | 0xa14499… |
| 11-02 14:32:51 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 346 | 40¢ | $138 | 0xa14499… |
| 11-02 14:32:46 | (anonymous) 0xcfa7…4206 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 43¢ | $8 | 0xa230ab… |
| 11-02 14:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 40¢ | $49 | 0xa230ab… |
| 11-02 14:32:46 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 101 | 60¢ | $61 | 0xa230ab… |
| 11-02 14:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xcfa7…4206 | No | BUY | 15 | 51¢ | $8 | 0x22ce93… |
| 11-02 14:32:04 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 15 | 51¢ | $8 | 0x22ce93… |
| 11-02 14:31:25 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 217 | 54¢ | $117 | 0x030746… |
| 11-02 14:31:25 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | SELL | 217 | 46¢ | $100 | 0x030746… |
| 11-02 14:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 20¢ | $22 | 0x642487… |
| 11-02 14:27:43 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x5b9dc8… |
| 11-02 14:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x5b9dc8… |
| 11-02 14:27:43 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 110 | 80¢ | $88 | 0x642487… |
| 11-02 14:27:43 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | BUY | 765 | 20¢ | $153 | 0x585497… |
| 11-02 14:27:43 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 765 | 80¢ | $612 | 0x585497… |
| 11-02 13:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x09ae08… |
| 11-02 13:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xabe6…5723 | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x09ae08… |
| 11-02 08:26:54 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1fe7ae… |
| 11-02 08:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1fe7ae… |
| 11-02 07:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x2497…4d4c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x6aa412… |
| 11-02 07:45:36 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6aa412… |
| 11-02 07:30:18 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa00c18… |
| 11-02 07:30:18 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xa00c18… |
| 11-02 07:30:16 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xbab9da… |
| 11-02 07:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xbab9da… |
| 11-02 06:56:58 | (anonymous) 0x1620…8cbd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x0f3eb8… |
| 11-02 06:56:58 | (anonymous) 0xb607…60fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0f3eb8… |
| 11-01 23:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcb40fc… |
| 11-01 23:18:03 | Snappy-Daylight 0xdbbf…fb9f | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xcb40fc… |
| 11-01 23:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x82547b… |
| 11-01 23:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x82547b… |