Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,262,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$214
Trades
45
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-02
last 04-27 11:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 4% YES on $123)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | $23 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $7 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $3 | $70 | $67 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $30 | $27 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +30 | $-0 | $1 | 5 | 04-27 11:34 |
| Lonely-Mother 0x2056…2dbe | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-27 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-02 23:50 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1f4…7a37 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 04-27 11:34 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 23:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x636616… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…1990 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7d7f97… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xbb5f…2c2c | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xe05e3e… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x4a25…c1a1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe05e3e… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xbb5f…2c2c | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x636616… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7d7f97… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa38e54… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Lonely-Mother 0x2056…2dbe | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7d7f97… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xe0c3…c00a | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xe05e3e… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x8e19…ad0d | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xa38e54… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xd1f4…7a37 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x636616… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa38e54… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe05e3e… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x8e19…ad0d | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xbb46fe… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0xbb5f…2c2c | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x56ed8f… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…1990 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2c4ee3… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x39ef…1990 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56ed8f… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x4a25…c1a1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb46fe… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0xe0c3…c00a | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x2c4ee3… |
| 04-27 07:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x4a25…c1a1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2c4ee3… |
| 04-21 10:32:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x054fad… |
| 04-21 10:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x41b0…26a7 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x054fad… |
| 04-21 09:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x41b0…26a7 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x197c6b… |
| 04-21 09:20:30 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x197c6b… |
| 04-21 09:12:06 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3ca9c0… |
| 04-21 09:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x41b0…26a7 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x3ca9c0… |
| 04-20 08:53:58 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x575aec… |
| 04-20 08:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x41b0…26a7 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x575aec… |
| 04-04 23:30:41 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10d450… |
| 04-04 23:30:41 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10d450… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x432e76… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x432e76… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x432e76… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x168113… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x168113… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x168113… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf632ec… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf632ec… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x00eadc… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x00eadc… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb23672… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb23672… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb23672… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9aa679… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x9aa679… |