Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$256
$781 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$490
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 19:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $38 | $67 | $29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| Below median | 12 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $11 | $41 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | +43 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 05-11 03:01 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 05:04 |
| Hairy-Emergent 0x4c79…b36f | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 05:43 |
| Extraneous-Truth 0x997e…7e58 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:56 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 10:12 |
| Busy-Syndrome 0x8b2b…4e2f | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 08:44 |
| Indolent-Sensitive 0x8bac…cf49 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Thirsty-Client 0x7085…11ed | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:34 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 08:44 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:10 |
| Open-Cartilage 0xaa00…8aab | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 14:34 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:03 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:54 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:51 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:36 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e6…f5bb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:09 |
| Precious-Recess 0x758d…9548 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 19:37:50 | Biodegradable-Heart 0x51ee…2912 | No | SELL | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0xc2c3ad… |
| 05-11 18:59:10 | Stingy-Corporal 0xadaa…875a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa5e0b7… |
| 05-11 18:37:45 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe2077c… |
| 05-11 18:37:45 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb48da2… |
| 05-11 18:37:45 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfef236… |
| 05-11 18:37:45 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x483cd5… |
| 05-11 18:37:45 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5b8b88… |
| 05-11 16:56:48 | Extraneous-Truth 0x997e…7e58 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5463c5… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x1c5b63… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x0d2e89… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x63c7c9… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf484d2… |
| 05-11 15:29:11 | Ideal-Bet 0x4dde…cff5 | No | SELL | 63 | 50¢ | $31 | 0x31850c… |
| 05-11 15:24:24 | Ideal-Bet 0x4dde…cff5 | No | SELL | 46 | 65¢ | $30 | 0xa96ecb… |
| 05-11 15:17:40 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x0ce5d9… |
| 05-11 15:17:40 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x8d64eb… |
| 05-11 14:34:58 | Open-Cartilage 0xaa00…8aab | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x0fbd8d… |
| 05-11 14:34:02 | Essential-Retina 0xaf34…063e | Yes | SELL | 92 | 32¢ | $30 | 0x02f6ae… |
| 05-11 13:14:19 | Indolent-Sensitive 0x8bac…cf49 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x06f82e… |
| 05-11 10:51:42 | Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x96941d… |
| 05-11 10:07:04 | Open-Cartilage 0xaa00…8aab | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x324190… |
| 05-11 09:09:49 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x940e06… |
| 05-11 09:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xd1e6…f5bb | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x1e8364… |
| 05-11 08:44:42 | Busy-Syndrome 0x8b2b…4e2f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xe54697… |
| 05-11 08:44:25 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xaac65b… |
| 05-11 08:44:20 | Tricky-Friction 0x7df0…3b5d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x312fed… |
| 05-11 05:43:58 | Hairy-Emergent 0x4c79…b36f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x3526dc… |
| 05-11 05:28:06 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc93f8a… |
| 05-11 05:04:21 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9f58cc… |
| 05-11 05:04:00 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2d161d… |
| 05-11 05:03:11 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5a5b62… |
| 05-11 04:54:00 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x41adb1… |
| 05-11 04:23:49 | Precious-Recess 0x758d…9548 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x38810b… |
| 05-11 03:10:45 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x234588… |
| 05-11 03:01:11 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x3bceb3… |
| 05-11 03:00:27 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xe6792d… |
| 05-11 03:00:15 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x14fe7e… |
| 05-11 03:00:01 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xd15474… |
| 05-10 23:22:38 | Essential-Retina 0xaf34…063e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xd0ca5b… |
| 05-10 21:41:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x001f04… |
| 05-10 10:12:53 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x36ad17… |
| 05-10 08:34:03 | Thirsty-Client 0x7085…11ed | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x7559bb… |
| 05-10 08:33:36 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 21 | 70¢ | $15 | 0x817d0e… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xca6cd9… |
| 05-10 05:36:15 | Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xaffc27… |