Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$542
$2,882 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$829
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 08:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $16 | $463 | $447 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $15 | $55 | $41 |
| Median | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $99 | $99 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $1 | $310 | $309 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | +302 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-14 07:44 |
| Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | Yes | +113 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 06:04 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +86 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 09:22 |
| Dual-Transition 0x5f1d…c41d | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +48 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-12 21:10 |
| Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | +47 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-12 19:15 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Wise-Meander 0x0772…b391 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 08:43 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-14 07:49 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 17:47 |
| Bitter-Hourglass 0x3e43…5fc9 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 19:15 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:36 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 20:03 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 22:07 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 21:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:53 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:20 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 07:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 08:43:55 | Wise-Meander 0x0772…b391 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4943b5… |
| 05-14 07:49:12 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xd4e7ab… |
| 05-14 07:44:16 | Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | BUY | 302 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x5fa03b… |
| 05-14 07:09:16 | Dual-Transition 0x5f1d…c41d | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x62c05b… |
| 05-14 06:39:19 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x109d4e… |
| 05-14 06:04:54 | Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xe173d9… |
| 05-14 06:01:01 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8c2ccb… |
| 05-14 06:00:54 | Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc7673b… |
| 05-14 02:20:17 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xece0d7… |
| 05-14 00:07:03 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9c323a… |
| 05-14 00:06:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa5f337… |
| 05-13 22:53:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2769f9… |
| 05-13 22:43:19 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6ded02… |
| 05-13 22:39:42 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x678ab8… |
| 05-13 22:33:20 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1c0cd7… |
| 05-13 21:14:12 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd70228… |
| 05-13 20:03:16 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x7409c2… |
| 05-13 19:15:40 | Bitter-Hourglass 0x3e43…5fc9 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xa0b21c… |
| 05-13 17:47:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xeb476a… |
| 05-13 15:08:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f8b15… |
| 05-13 07:26:27 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xcea361… |
| 05-13 02:36:03 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfe8bc6… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x9e52d2… |
| 05-12 22:07:11 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x5c981c… |
| 05-12 21:10:57 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x7f80f5… |
| 05-12 19:15:24 | Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | BUY | 47 | 91¢ | $43 | 0x0c0be7… |
| 05-12 17:17:13 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x1d5958… |
| 05-12 16:06:48 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0xa0d499… |
| 05-12 09:22:24 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xb7039d… |
| 05-12 09:22:24 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x150339… |