Will the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?
open
Total volume
$375
Trades
37
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$35
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-19 20:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-43.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $36
vs crowd: 43% YES on $300)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $101 | $166 | $65 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $2 | $0 | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $14 | $3 | +$11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $36 | $36 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $113 | $70 | +$43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 2 | — | $52 | $52 |
| Below median | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 4 | $13 | $0 | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | Yes | +109 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 05-19 04:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +85 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-19 20:05 |
| Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | +81 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 05-19 19:51 |
| Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-19 18:25 |
| Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | No | +46 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-19 20:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-19 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc51c…e218 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 12:22 |
| Gracious-Locust 0xc8b8…c770 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-19 18:25 |
| Cooperative-Gasket 0x5d5e…9a5e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-19 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-19 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-19 20:05 |
| Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-17 12:22 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-19 20:36 |
| Taut-Spawn 0x4a57…03f3 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-17 21:18 |
| Dental-Link 0x042e…bc28 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 09:02 |
| Proper-Cue 0x34ec…1ab2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 20:36:08 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb5ac97… |
| 05-19 20:36:08 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb5ac97… |
| 05-19 20:33:51 | Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xca73ab… |
| 05-19 20:33:51 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xca73ab… |
| 05-19 20:05:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x51a616… |
| 05-19 20:05:21 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x51a616… |
| 05-19 20:05:21 | (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x51a616… |
| 05-19 19:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x667514… |
| 05-19 19:51:13 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x667514… |
| 05-19 18:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xb096…e8d7 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x696e7c… |
| 05-19 18:34:18 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x696e7c… |
| 05-19 18:25:50 | Cooperative-Gasket 0x5d5e…9a5e | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x270963… |
| 05-19 18:25:50 | Gracious-Locust 0xc8b8…c770 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x270963… |
| 05-19 18:25:29 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x8b8ffe… |
| 05-19 18:25:29 | Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e | No | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x8b8ffe… |
| 05-19 18:25:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x8b8ffe… |
| 05-19 04:54:15 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 46 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x5d95d0… |
| 05-19 04:54:15 | Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 88¢ | $41 | 0x5d95d0… |
| 05-19 02:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcad482… |
| 05-19 02:46:33 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcad482… |
| 05-19 02:46:30 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xff11cc… |
| 05-19 02:46:30 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xff11cc… |
| 05-19 02:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x68a5f1… |
| 05-19 02:27:34 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x68a5f1… |
| 05-19 02:27:34 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x68a5f1… |
| 05-19 02:27:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x68a5f1… |
| 05-19 02:27:34 | Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 95¢ | $60 | 0x68a5f1… |
| 05-19 02:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xb096…e8d7 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x68a5f1… |
| 05-17 21:18:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9c34f6… |
| 05-17 21:18:06 | Taut-Spawn 0x4a57…03f3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x9c34f6… |
| 05-17 12:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xb096…e8d7 | No | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x953a3a… |
| 05-17 12:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xc51c…e218 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x953a3a… |
| 05-17 12:22:15 | Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x953a3a… |
| 05-17 09:02:39 | Dental-Link 0x042e…bc28 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xab53f9… |
| 05-17 09:02:39 | Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xab53f9… |
| 05-15 03:41:25 | Proper-Cue 0x34ec…1ab2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x882c21… |
| 05-15 03:41:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x882c21… |