Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$284
$646 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$4,505
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 07:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $271 | $270 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $36 | $36 |
| Median | 5 | — | $231 | $231 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +229 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:58 |
| Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | +206 | $206 | $206 | 3 | 05-08 07:55 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Giving-Ozone 0xe56e…411c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-06 23:55 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-08 03:51 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 14:16 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 18:55 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 22:51 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:43 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:23 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 10:40 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:35 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 07:55:44 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb77c13… |
| 05-08 07:55:07 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xaa5797… |
| 05-08 07:54:41 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x9128f9… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5465d7… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9f229… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x985b8d… |
| 05-08 05:44:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa45eec… |
| 05-08 05:44:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e135b… |
| 05-08 05:35:05 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6bfdc3… |
| 05-08 05:24:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f3a7c… |
| 05-08 05:23:37 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa53e6a… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1d69c… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33687a… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2300e9… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d940d… |
| 05-08 04:58:53 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 229 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd85ed2… |
| 05-08 04:43:14 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc82750… |
| 05-08 04:32:38 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x30ac81… |
| 05-08 03:51:47 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4a6d17… |
| 05-08 03:19:31 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x61f39c… |
| 05-08 01:27:19 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9f380c… |
| 05-07 22:51:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd3a938… |
| 05-07 20:06:03 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa5559d… |
| 05-07 18:55:54 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x56ee4f… |
| 05-07 14:16:17 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea01cd… |
| 05-07 10:40:07 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x841861… |
| 05-07 09:24:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4cc2e… |
| 05-06 23:55:38 | Giving-Ozone 0xe56e…411c | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xf4c06f… |
| 05-06 19:54:53 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fd472… |
| 05-06 19:54:51 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb32347… |
| 05-06 19:54:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ec53f… |