Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 7?
open
Total volume
$351
$1,515 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$73,164
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 21:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $218 | $218 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $7 | $126 | $119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $278 | $278 |
| Median | 6 | — | $44 | $44 |
| Below median | 5 | $7 | $4 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5a80…a983 | Yes | +414 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-06 17:23 |
| Loyal-Gavel 0x5637…21f4 | No | +206 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 05-07 03:43 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-07 11:20 |
| Gorgeous-Accommodation 0x3b72…8899 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 14:59 |
| Formal-Percentage 0x23a8…843c | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 06:33 |
| Subdued-Independent 0x3a84…b8e0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 07:13 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-06 08:09 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 20:16 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 07:19 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 05:44 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 09:29 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 09:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 21:46:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e319e… |
| 05-07 20:16:08 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc573eb… |
| 05-07 16:51:13 | Imperfect-Hill 0xc65f…6bf1 | Yes | SELL | 147 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe5445… |
| 05-07 14:59:35 | Gorgeous-Accommodation 0x3b72…8899 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x254af8… |
| 05-07 11:20:03 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xfb8560… |
| 05-07 11:00:29 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x651c63… |
| 05-07 09:09:25 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xad4750… |
| 05-07 07:13:36 | Subdued-Independent 0x3a84…b8e0 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x173be7… |
| 05-07 06:33:24 | Formal-Percentage 0x23a8…843c | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x1c7b5a… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ef3ff… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2101d5… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ce75b… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe894b2… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6a312… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb15500… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62352d… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x59d7be… |
| 05-07 05:44:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba61d6… |
| 05-07 03:43:01 | Loyal-Gavel 0x5637…21f4 | No | BUY | 206 | 100¢ | $205 | 0xabaa59… |
| 05-06 17:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x5a80…a983 | Yes | BUY | 414 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x9f36ec… |
| 05-06 12:55:16 | Imperfect-Hill 0xc65f…6bf1 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x545d7f… |
| 05-06 09:29:30 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x84b732… |
| 05-06 08:09:58 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd74cd5… |
| 05-06 07:19:48 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69e0d5… |