Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C or higher on May 13?
No won
Total volume
$123
$3,258 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 14:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $62 | $62 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $0 | $59 | $59 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| Median | 4 | — | $61 | $61 |
| Below median | 4 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 23:21 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 01:03 |
| Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 14:53 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 09:14 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 14:23 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 05:26 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 07:31 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:38 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 14:53:16 | Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x474501… |
| 05-13 10:53:11 | Enormous-Jailhouse 0x9aac…7e0a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x336f65… |
| 05-13 10:33:16 | Outlandish-Current 0x652d…46b3 | Yes | SELL | 354 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x87f764… |
| 05-13 10:03:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x049828… |
| 05-13 09:14:36 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x9972e8… |
| 05-13 07:56:16 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x415e54… |
| 05-13 07:56:14 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb33689… |
| 05-13 07:51:36 | Finished-Hurt 0x02b6…e113 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd6e255… |
| 05-13 07:51:15 | Finished-Hurt 0x02b6…e113 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xda4bb4… |
| 05-13 05:26:09 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc09d3e… |
| 05-13 04:24:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcaa29e… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd51128… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x028607… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb76ae6… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a5b4d… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbdb198… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03d660… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b387b… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf53bd2… |
| 05-12 14:23:09 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x3092d3… |
| 05-12 07:31:05 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc08bc8… |
| 05-12 01:03:25 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x67992b… |
| 05-12 01:03:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79f710… |
| 05-12 00:28:13 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x24f443… |
| 05-12 00:12:23 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x110544… |
| 05-12 00:03:12 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe2f8bd… |
| 05-11 18:31:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ea6b3… |
| 05-11 18:31:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f5d6c… |
| 05-11 05:38:32 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x03bd01… |