Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
40
Trades
320
lifetime
Volume
$509
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 06-08 21:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
39% 100% +$0
Sports
26% 86% $-1
Other
25% 100% +$1
Crypto
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -6 $-2 70¢ $-4 $-2 05-28 14:15
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 10:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-08 02:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 $-0 06-08 02:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3 $-3 78¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 22:23
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -3 $-2 76¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 16:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-04 15:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 22:24
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +15 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 06-08 21:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 15:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-01 22:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $-1 06-04 11:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-05 21:42
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +2 $2 $0 $-2 06-06 02:46