Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

204

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-01 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

43% 60% -$11

Other

36% 72% +$31

Sports

13% 86% -$1

Crypto

6% 50% -$11

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-3	-$2	82¢	$-2	+$0	05-22 13:34
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Yes	-107	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	07-01 11:41
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	05-05 19:14
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+13	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	06-05 00:03
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	+0	$0	44¢	$0	$0	06-04 12:20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	05-26 00:40
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	+0	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	06-27 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$30	31	31	+0	No	+$3	06-28 11:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$24	15	18	-3	open	—	05-22 13:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	7	$23	39	39	+0	open	—	07-01 11:38
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	7	$21	20	20	+0	No	+$8	05-19 22:36
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$20	29	21	+8	No	+$11	05-27 15:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$20	245	8	+237	No	-$13	06-02 15:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	8	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$1	07-01 11:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	10	$18	44	44	+0	open	—	07-01 11:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	8	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$1	07-01 11:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	7	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$1	07-01 11:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	8	$12	5	8	-2	No	$0	05-21 17:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$11	17	17	+0	No	+$2	06-11 17:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	6	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	07-01 11:39
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	4	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-30 16:59
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	5	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$1	06-30 03:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$9	8	8	+0	No	+$1	05-24 22:18
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	5	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-28 01:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 08:30
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-25 02:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	06-15 05:32
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-17 01:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 20:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-20 20:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-21 07:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	4	$8	8	3	+5	No	-$2	05-25 23:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	07-01 11:39
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$7	5	4	+0	No	+$2	05-21 03:31
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	4	$7	5	4	+2	No	+$0	06-23 23:53
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	4	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-05 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 11:42:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x867267…
07-01 11:41:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0xb51cca…
07-01 11:41:50	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5a0285…
07-01 11:41:47	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x9d2b73…
07-01 11:41:46	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x8e4f1b…
07-01 11:41:41	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Yes	SELL	107	1¢	$1	0xe05629…
07-01 11:41:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9a9f05…
07-01 11:41:35	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x290e93…
07-01 11:41:32	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$1	0xcea0d2…
07-01 11:41:31	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x9a8a5f…
07-01 11:41:28	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x3785ad…
07-01 11:41:25	Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x207f62…
07-01 11:41:22	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x123d6c…
07-01 11:40:11	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xa0e116…
07-01 11:40:08	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9e55d6…
07-01 11:40:05	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xc36844…
07-01 11:40:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xda65e9…
07-01 11:40:01	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xfafc17…
07-01 11:39:56	Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd555fe…
07-01 11:39:50	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd9efbd…
07-01 11:39:46	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa4c44b…
07-01 11:39:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02db5b…
07-01 11:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x584d1c…
07-01 11:39:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbec59f…
07-01 11:39:35	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x33f746…
07-01 11:39:32	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7fb1ca…
07-01 11:39:29	Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbe6f32…
07-01 11:39:26	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xc741d8…
07-01 11:39:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x1ae682…
07-01 11:39:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x0ec304…
07-01 11:39:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5a4a6e…
07-01 11:39:11	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x1532ad…
07-01 11:39:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xdce02d…
07-01 11:39:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$4	0xda8dcf…
07-01 11:39:02	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x789461…
07-01 11:38:59	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xda5b8e…
07-01 11:38:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xe39c01…
07-01 07:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6075a6…
07-01 06:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x89bb50…
07-01 05:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b8cb2…
07-01 05:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7dff12…
06-30 22:54:28	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x682b3e…
06-30 22:50:17	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xe4153b…
06-30 22:50:08	Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x6c2a33…
06-30 22:49:31	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xfe17c3…
06-30 21:57:43	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xe0e858…
06-30 17:34:13	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xc98e41…
06-30 16:59:32	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x363c76…
06-30 16:17:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xf22abb…
06-30 15:07:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x8c0e60…
06-30 15:02:08	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1d7cef…
06-30 14:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ec009…
06-30 13:46:13	Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x54229b…
06-30 11:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60a573…
06-30 11:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdefe23…
06-30 10:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9e523b…
06-30 10:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x432c44…
06-30 06:54:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x31842c…
06-30 03:59:22	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x70ded3…
06-30 02:38:31	Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x80f37b…
06-29 21:12:44	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe430cb…
06-29 21:12:44	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x2565c3…
06-29 20:28:49	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3bbcd5…
06-29 20:07:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x90d0ef…
06-29 20:06:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ef2d6…
06-29 18:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x301080…
06-29 18:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86a3e7…
06-29 18:46:02	Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xec817f…
06-29 12:52:08	Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x767e30…
06-29 12:08:22	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$2	0x460170…
06-29 04:13:50	Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xe04fb6…
06-29 00:33:32	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xdd73db…
06-28 21:46:16	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc060e7…
06-28 21:24:31	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$1	0xc61568…
06-28 20:38:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xfcda24…
06-28 19:51:22	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe7863d…
06-28 19:41:35	Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf7ec27…
06-28 19:39:22	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x378c46…
06-28 18:55:34	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x96c07b…
06-28 16:37:26	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xddf0ff…
06-28 15:19:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x566237…
06-28 13:10:43	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8debc4…
06-28 11:39:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0x743f42…
06-28 11:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x918707…
06-28 11:30:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x395858…
06-28 04:43:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xe6c14f…
06-28 01:45:34	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xbcf48c…
06-28 01:21:01	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xca6850…
06-28 01:21:01	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x83c5b8…
06-28 00:40:34	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x913326…
06-27 21:48:40	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x2da1cf…
06-27 21:48:11	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x39afeb…
06-27 21:38:41	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa39984…
06-27 20:22:17	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x93129e…
06-27 20:14:44	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xb14afc…
06-27 17:25:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xc6e12d…
06-27 14:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x5337b1…
06-27 14:16:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xbc0663…
06-27 13:43:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xe1192e…
06-27 00:07:14	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3fa80e…