(anonymous) 0x010b05…325947
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Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
40
Trades
374
lifetime
Volume
$606
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 06-30 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
38% 100% +$0
Other
31% 100% +$1
Sports
22% 86% $-1
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7 $6 90¢ $7 +$1 06-17 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $-5 70¢ $-4 +$1 06-28 11:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 06-25 19:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -3 $-2 100¢ $-3 $-1 06-07 16:57
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3 $-3 86¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 22:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-04 15:04
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 06-28 19:39
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 06-27 21:48
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-28 19:41
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $1 $-0 06-28 19:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +3 $1 39¢ $1 $-0 06-24 15:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-01 22:16
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +15 $2 8¢ $1 $-0 06-08 21:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 15:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 22:15
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -2 $-1 62¢ $-1 $-0 06-27 21:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-27 20:22
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 28¢ $0 $-1 06-30 15:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +3 $1 9¢ $0 $-1 06-28 11:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 +$0 06-22 04:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-05 21:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $-0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-11 17:47