Realized P&L
+$165
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
39.9%
Resolved
265
Trades
965
lifetime
Volume
$4.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$475
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 08:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
71% 30% -$179
Politics
13% 33% +$84
Crypto
10% 67% +$38
Sports
7% 11% +$221
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -137 -$114 96¢ $-131 -$17 07-01 01:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,040 $286 13¢ $131 -$155 08-25 17:41
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +251 $54 35¢ $88 +$33 10-24 08:47
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,000 $10 7¢ $74 +$64 07-28 03:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +580 $36 4¢ $25 -$11 07-27 16:14
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +937 -$20 1¢ $9 +$29 10-01 23:36
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +372 $13 2¢ $6 -$7 07-25 12:39
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$11 1¢ $-6 +$6 06-15 18:22
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,000 $12 0¢ $5 -$7 09-01 10:56