Realized P&L
-$133
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
436
Trades
847
lifetime
Volume
$9.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$177
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-25 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
55% 70% -$185
Politics
21% 69% -$41
Sports
14% 74% +$84
Crypto
9% 80% +$15
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -70 -$65 97¢ $-68 -$3 05-27 14:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -61 -$52 97¢ $-59 -$7 05-28 22:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No -20 -$18 96¢ $-19 -$1 05-24 00:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -12 -$10 90¢ $-11 -$1 05-03 09:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -10 -$10 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-09 18:39
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -8 -$6 96¢ $-8 -$2 05-01 20:14
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -15 -$4 13¢ $-2 +$2 07-25 08:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -8 -$3 10¢ $-1 +$2 05-27 22:05
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -10 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$3 05-25 06:16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -30 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-24 21:16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -50 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 21:16