Breakable-Contact — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$283

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-09 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Crypto

32% 0% $-50

Other

15% 0% $-150

Sports

10% 0% $-5

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	3	$2.8K	1,410	1,407	+3	open	—	04-27 16:44
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	02-23 08:03
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	3	$852	2,437	2,437	+0	open	—	02-24 00:54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$618	396	396	+0	open	—	02-28 08:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$600	650	0	+650	open	—	05-01 02:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$571	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	02-24 06:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	3	$545	792	404	+388	open	—	05-13 03:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$502	336	336	+0	open	—	05-07 14:24
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$498	312	311	+2	Sean Strickland	$-2	05-03 02:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$466	299	299	-0	open	—	06-09 16:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$418	446	228	+219	open	—	05-09 17:44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$414	357	357	+0	open	—	05-07 06:12
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$383	333	333	+0	open	—	02-28 08:10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	1	$353	441	0	+441	open	—	04-27 16:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$350	372	0	+372	open	—	04-27 15:25
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$300	789	789	+0	open	—	06-09 16:15
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$296	366	366	+0	Joshua Van	$-4	05-09 01:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$295	249	249	+0	open	—	05-12 07:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$175	178	0	+178	open	—	04-27 15:24
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$150	2,143	0	+2,143	open	—	02-21 04:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$150	455	0	+455	Yes	$-150	05-04 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$150	675	0	+675	open	—	05-25 06:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	1	$100	1,602	0	+1,602	open	—	04-27 15:26
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$100	256	0	+256	open	—	04-27 16:36
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	1	$50	504	0	+504	Yes	$-50	05-04 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	299	75¢	$224	0xf2a768…
06-09 16:15:57	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	789	19¢	$150	0x4944b7…
06-06 16:51:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	299	81¢	$242	0x6b7d06…
06-06 16:31:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	789	19¢	$150	0x3f3401…
05-25 06:19:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	675	22¢	$150	0xf8a9fb…
05-13 03:55:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	404	37¢	$150	0xc75370…
05-12 07:24:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	249	58¢	$145	0xa9fa52…
05-09 17:44:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	228	74¢	$168	0xeb13fb…
05-09 01:25:57	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	366	40¢	$146	0x6a052e…
05-07 14:25:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	520	47¢	$244	0x048849…
05-07 14:24:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	336	75¢	$252	0xe89c02…
05-07 13:30:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	336	74¢	$250	0x974f4b…
05-07 13:29:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	446	56¢	$250	0xb4ec22…
05-07 06:12:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	357	60¢	$214	0x950773…
05-04 18:42:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	BUY	504	10¢	$50	0x5b7891…
05-04 17:44:44	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0xec06c3…
05-04 17:41:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0x8ff544…
05-04 17:41:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xda7fd5…
05-04 17:39:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	249	60¢	$150	0xf8bba4…
05-04 17:39:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0xe2a183…
05-03 02:08:26	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	311	80¢	$248	0x768fd7…
05-01 02:41:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	650	92¢	$600	0xdae75f…
04-27 16:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	703	100¢	$703	0x7161a1…
04-27 16:40:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	441	80¢	$353	0xec6bbc…
04-27 16:37:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0x9408f1…
04-27 16:36:42	UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Louie Sutherland	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x9b0b59…
04-27 16:33:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	703	100¢	$703	0xa31cb1…
04-27 15:27:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,410	97¢	$1,371	0x2059b8…
04-27 15:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,602	6¢	$100	0xb059bb…
04-27 15:25:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	94¢	$350	0x52454f…
04-27 15:24:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0x084efd…
02-28 08:10:09	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x9ab25a…
02-28 08:09:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x0ce7ce…
02-26 16:02:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	56¢	$222	0x828102…
02-26 16:01:54	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x8492e9…
02-24 06:27:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1,429	19¢	$271	0x8dfa38…
02-24 00:54:04	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,437	15¢	$366	0x7d2b73…
02-23 08:04:46	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	987	21¢	$207	0xb785e1…
02-23 08:04:14	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,450	19¢	$280	0xc7ec9d…
02-23 08:03:06	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,058	46¢	$487	0x706212…
02-21 04:04:00	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,058	52¢	$549	0xcf2535…
02-21 04:03:00	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,429	21¢	$300	0x1d7af6…
02-21 04:02:20	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	2,143	7¢	$150	0x12f6c0…