Irritating-Seaplane — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

16,393 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$95

$275.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$51

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-05 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 56% +$39,251

Sports

12% 17% -$2,568

Other

4% 60% -$5,860

Politics

0% 40% +$38

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2352 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-33	-$33	99¢	$-33	$0	08-29 23:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-16	-$13	90¢	$-14	-$1	08-29 23:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-36	-$5	11¢	$-4	+$1	08-29 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5.6K	17,055	17,055	+0	No	+$26	06-15 17:56
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	50	$5.5K	124,674	124,674	+0	No	+$14	06-15 17:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5.4K	17,035	17,035	+0	Yes	-$240	06-15 17:57
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$5.4K	174,924	147,900	+27,024	No	-$853	06-29 13:14
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$4.9K	7,276	0	+7,276	No	-$4,948	06-15 17:27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.9K	21,935	21,935	+0	No	-$203	06-15 17:57
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$4.8K	2,434	2,434	+0	open	—	06-15 17:57
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,529	1,529	+0	open	—	06-15 17:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:30 UTC	24	$2.1K	1,482	1,482	+0	Down	+$810	07-28 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 07:50 UTC	3	$2.0K	3,969	0	+3,969	Down	-$2,024	07-26 07:46
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.9K	111,111	111,111	+0	No	-$111	06-15 17:57
epl new sun 2026 03 22 new	2	$1.8K	1,351	1,351	+0	No	+$850	03-22 15:05
mlb kc col 2026 08 01	2	$1.8K	1,370	1,356	+14	Colorado Rockies	-$113	08-02 00:56
Games Total: O/U 2.5	34	$1.8K	3,001	500	+2,501	Under	-$758	04-28 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 05:45 UTC	15	$1.6K	4,471	0	+4,471	Down	-$1,593	03-25 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:00 UTC	88	$1.5K	3,054	0	+3,054	Down	+$249	07-26 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:40 UTC	66	$1.5K	3,492	0	+3,492	Down	+$2,039	03-25 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:05 UTC	85	$1.4K	2,903	0	+2,903	Up	-$132	07-25 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 05:25 UTC	47	$1.4K	4,748	0	+4,748	Up	+$2,422	03-25 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	68	$1.4K	2,589	0	+2,589	Up	-$142	07-26 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:10 UTC	62	$1.3K	2,629	0	+2,629	Up	+$221	07-25 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	16	$1.3K	2,965	0	+2,965	Up	-$325	03-25 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:20 UTC	70	$1.3K	2,359	0	+2,359	Down	-$1,259	07-28 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	59	$1.2K	2,007	0	+2,007	Down	+$783	07-26 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:10 UTC	44	$1.2K	2,389	0	+2,389	Down	+$1,188	07-28 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 04:55 UTC	111	$1.2K	3,132	0	+3,132	Up	-$878	03-20 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 04:05 UTC	64	$1.2K	2,778	0	+2,778	Down	-$1,156	03-18 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:15 UTC	4	$1.2K	790	761	+28	Up	+$367	03-30 05:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 07:15 UTC	58	$1.1K	2,233	0	+2,233	Down	+$203	07-26 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:40 UTC	58	$1.1K	2,881	0	+2,881	Up	-$566	03-18 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf42bdf…
11-05 21:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7dfcaf…
11-03 22:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa13c49…
11-02 22:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x045927…
11-02 21:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x91a7d3…
11-01 22:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcf2ac7…
11-01 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x2b9531…
11-01 22:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcd4dca…
11-01 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x027b6a…
10-31 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf4841d…
10-30 22:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f5689…
10-29 22:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x500574…
10-29 21:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x251f31…
10-28 21:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf71e00…
10-27 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7e812b…
10-26 20:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x40721d…
10-25 20:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc635c4…
10-24 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x05a7b7…
10-23 20:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb9135e…
10-23 20:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8446ba…
10-22 18:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x942e47…
10-21 19:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xcc38ab…
10-20 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x58a7c9…
10-20 23:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x51c0ee…
10-19 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbd853d…
10-19 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7f1c88…
10-19 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2eb3a0…
10-18 22:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x276aac…
10-17 20:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa32c1d…
10-16 19:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8da40f…
10-15 21:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xce09b0…
10-14 19:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeaf840…
10-12 20:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6de21…
10-10 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6d6d5b…
10-09 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc0f954…
10-08 20:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7ffb30…
10-07 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf494a1…
10-06 22:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc52199…
10-06 22:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xbf0df5…
10-06 22:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xbc1735…
10-06 22:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x88195b…
10-06 22:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x564459…
10-06 22:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xce7bec…
10-05 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2ad6f9…
10-04 22:01:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc75ac4…
10-04 21:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdf4dce…
10-04 21:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x320459…
10-04 21:42:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$51	0xe25218…
10-03 21:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8943ab…
10-02 21:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa32622…
10-01 19:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x62845b…
09-30 22:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x227e70…
09-29 21:08:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbc18b6…
09-28 20:54:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa85ed1…
09-28 20:41:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8ce4f0…
09-27 21:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xccf633…
09-26 20:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x357623…
09-26 20:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd89b50…
09-25 21:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x89bd15…
09-25 21:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1068bc…
09-24 21:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9c5a41…
09-23 21:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6871ca…
09-22 21:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf7bc31…
09-21 01:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb7fddb…
09-19 22:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x498b1c…
09-18 20:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8da118…
09-17 20:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x786047…
09-16 22:24:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x23fcd4…
09-16 22:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaed7fd…
09-15 21:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x43c2c6…
09-15 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc1ee47…
09-14 20:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x311aed…
09-13 18:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xea7569…
09-10 20:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xccea8d…
09-10 06:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7b708a…
09-09 18:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6153a0…
09-08 13:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x232bcf…
09-08 06:43:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x107185…
09-07 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xebb01e…
09-07 13:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1ae8d9…
09-05 22:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9aae65…
09-04 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e903c…
09-03 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x772c3c…
09-02 20:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf429d4…
09-01 21:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb3a5e0…
08-31 22:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3031d8…
08-30 22:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3a13b3…
08-30 13:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf93e43…
08-30 13:50:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa2d339…
08-30 13:50:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x77d25a…
08-30 13:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xdaaaa8…
08-30 13:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe646c8…
08-30 13:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0xc0e97a…
08-30 13:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xc9dfc8…
08-30 13:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x228453…
08-30 13:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x676183…
08-30 13:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa07b34…
08-30 13:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3171b7…
08-30 13:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x156248…
08-30 13:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x78b84f…