Realized P&L
-$251
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
70
Trades
2,980
lifetime
Volume
$55.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$169
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-30 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Sports
51% 39% $-93
Other
42% 28% $-170
Politics
6% 100% +$12
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -52 $-45 88¢ $-45 $-0 06-25 16:40
Trump out as President by June 30? No -41 $-41 100¢ $-41 $-0 06-06 16:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -41 $-40 98¢ $-40 $-0 06-05 14:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -30 $-27 92¢ $-28 $-0 06-29 14:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -34 $-18 24¢ $-8 +$10 06-22 15:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 100¢ $-6 $-1 05-31 15:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +336 $37 $1 $-36 05-31 11:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 15¢ $-0 $-0 06-18 16:02
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 16:02