Disguised-Leap — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

3

Trades

9

lifetime

Volume

$134

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$81

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

51% 33% +$9

Other

49% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (2)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	+91	$40	44¢	$40	$-0	05-05 01:45
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+10,000	$40	0¢	$35	$-5	05-05 11:00
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5	Under	+20	$7	34¢	$7	$-0	05-05 01:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-05 11:00
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	1	$40	91	0	+91	open	—	05-05 01:45
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	1	$17	0	114	-114	New York Yankees	+$17	05-04 23:30
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$10	0	14	-14	open	—	05-05 11:00
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 01:50
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5	1	$7	0	13	-13	open	—	05-05 07:30
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$7	0	15	-15	San Francisco Giants	$-8	05-05 01:45
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$5	0	5	-5	Knicks	$-0	05-05 01:49
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5	1	$1	0	14	-14	open	—	05-05 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:00:22	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x7d1cfd…
05-05 11:00:14	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0x86bf64…
05-05 11:00:10	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x217a50…
05-05 07:30:12	Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x6cab9a…
05-05 01:50:06	1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x38f35a…
05-05 01:49:54	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6b8310…
05-05 01:45:20	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xece6d3…
05-05 01:45:10	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x6597f0…
05-04 23:30:02	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	114	15¢	$17	0xcc145b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$878	10	05-05 12:25
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	3	$831	34	05-05 09:01

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