Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$558
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,228
lifetime
Volume
$130.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$1.05K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50%
Other
31%
Sports
10%
Tech
6%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -600 $-323 90¢ $-543 $-220 05-29 14:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -490 $-280 62¢ $-306 $-27 05-31 18:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +511 $292 38¢ $197 $-95 06-05 10:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1 $-39 61¢ $1 +$39 06-08 14:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1 $107 46¢ $0 $-106 06-07 22:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +0 $54 80¢ $0 $-54 06-05 12:15
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $55 76¢ $0 $-54 06-08 01:10
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +0 $-8 66¢ $0 +$8 05-31 12:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1 $76 20¢ $0 $-76 06-09 16:43
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +0 $-26 100¢ $0 +$26 06-01 21:47