Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$940
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,828
lifetime
Volume
$267.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$1.21K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 07-02 16:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
43%
Politics
42%
Tech
8%
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -600 $-323 100¢ $-598 $-275 06-12 10:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -490 $-280 84¢ $-409 $-130 05-31 18:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +511 $292 40¢ $202 $-90 06-05 10:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $12 86¢ $1 $-11 06-11 12:24
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1 $28 70¢ $1 $-27 07-02 14:40
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1 $282 54¢ $0 $-282 06-24 11:49
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1 $1 46¢ $0 $-0 06-24 11:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $14 74¢ $0 $-14 06-25 13:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +0 $8 57¢ $0 $-8 06-28 22:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1 $3 11¢ $0 $-3 06-10 16:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $58 26¢ $0 $-58 06-26 20:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $39 40¢ $0 $-39 06-30 14:57
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +0 $4 36¢ $0 $-4 06-13 15:38