Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1.01K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,036
lifetime
Volume
$296.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$598
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 07-20 13:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45%
Politics
41%
Tech
7%
Sports
5%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -490 $-280 86¢ $-424 $-144 05-31 18:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +511 $292 34¢ $171 $-120 06-05 10:17
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1 $193 70¢ $1 $-192 07-05 01:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $12 70¢ $1 $-11 06-11 12:24
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1 $28 38¢ $0 $-27 07-02 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $14 99¢ $0 $-14 06-25 13:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $43 44¢ $0 $-42 07-10 10:07
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1 $282 26¢ $0 $-282 06-24 11:49
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +0 $30 74¢ $0 $-30 07-12 02:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1 $3 14¢ $0 $-3 06-10 16:02
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +0 $16 32¢ $0 $-16 07-08 16:17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $66 32¢ $0 $-66 07-20 13:04
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +0 $4 22¢ $0 $-4 06-13 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $58 $0 $-58 06-26 20:32