Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 7?
open
Total volume
$593
$582 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$27,209
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
54¢
End date
2026-11-07
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-06 14:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+28.3¢
(top1%: 71% YES on $248
vs crowd: 43% YES on $590)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $196 | $191 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $198 | $132 | +$66 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $19 | $11 | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $176 | $72 | +$104 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $32 | $3 | +$29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 2 | $9 | $3 | +$6 |
| Below median | 4 | $10 | $8 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $20 | $241 | $220 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | +418 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +283 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +61 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 11-05 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +35 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +33 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 11-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +29 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 11-06 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +25 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 11-05 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc3c…0777 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | No | +21 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Thin-Interject 0x100a…0919 | No | +21 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5dbc…43be | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-06 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-05 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b52…6d8c | Yes | +16 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-06 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | +16 | $9 | $15 | 3 | 11-06 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d64…07f8 | Yes | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-05 22:27 |
| Pessimistic-Hospital 0xcef6…2ade | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-05 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xec62…9191 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 11-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-06 12:05 |
| Antique-Overweight 0x4ae6…8e75 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-06 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-06 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x520f…2d92 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-06 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-05 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6269…11d7 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-06 11:49 |
| Sunny-Modification 0x1dd3…bee3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-06 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-06 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-05 17:23 |
| Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-06 14:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 14:23:45 | Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x7137d6… |
| 11-06 14:23:45 | Antique-Overweight 0x4ae6…8e75 | No | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x7137d6… |
| 11-06 14:23:42 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x5f9006… |
| 11-06 14:23:42 | Antique-Overweight 0x4ae6…8e75 | No | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x5f9006… |
| 11-06 12:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xbd873a… |
| 11-06 12:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 11 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xbd873a… |
| 11-06 12:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xec62…9191 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xbd873a… |
| 11-06 12:02:22 | (anonymous) 0xec62…9191 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xd895d3… |
| 11-06 12:02:22 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd895d3… |
| 11-06 11:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x93da00… |
| 11-06 11:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x6269…11d7 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x93da00… |
| 11-06 11:27:06 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 16 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x6b293f… |
| 11-06 11:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x2b52…6d8c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 46¢ | $7 | 0x6b293f… |
| 11-06 11:07:43 | (anonymous) 0xec62…9191 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xe35ff6… |
| 11-06 11:07:43 | Sunny-Modification 0x1dd3…bee3 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xe35ff6… |
| 11-06 06:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x3569f2… |
| 11-06 06:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | BUY | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x3569f2… |
| 11-06 06:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x3569f2… |
| 11-06 06:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x5dbc…43be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x97210a… |
| 11-06 06:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x97210a… |
| 11-06 03:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x520f…2d92 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x71725a… |
| 11-06 03:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x71725a… |
| 11-05 22:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x750c64… |
| 11-05 22:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x9ffab4… |
| 11-05 22:44:58 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x750c64… |
| 11-05 22:44:58 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x9ffab4… |
| 11-05 22:27:42 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…07f8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x8ecfe8… |
| 11-05 22:27:42 | Pessimistic-Hospital 0xcef6…2ade | No | BUY | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x8ecfe8… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 35 | 58¢ | $20 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | No | BUY | 21 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | Thin-Interject 0x100a…0919 | No | BUY | 21 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | BUY | 418 | 42¢ | $176 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 22:14:39 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 283 | 58¢ | $164 | 0x8fa839… |
| 11-05 17:23:16 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 23 | 57¢ | $13 | 0xa3d645… |
| 11-05 17:23:16 | (anonymous) 0xbc3c…0777 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0xa3d645… |
| 11-05 17:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0x82b6d6… |
| 11-05 17:23:15 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 23 | 57¢ | $13 | 0x82b6d6… |
| 11-05 17:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xc83ddf… |
| 11-05 17:23:13 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xc83ddf… |