Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
95.2%
Resolved
21
Trades
863
lifetime
Volume
$2.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$81
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-20 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
78%
Other
19% 95% +$3
Sports
2% 100% +$1
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +18 $9 50¢ $9 $-0 06-16 12:17
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +18 $9 50¢ $9 $-0 06-16 12:16
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +18 $9 50¢ $9 $-0 06-23 12:16
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 60¢ $7 +$3 07-16 12:17
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 62¢ $5 +$1 07-16 12:17
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +10 $4 50¢ $5 +$1 07-20 12:16
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 07-16 12:16
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 07-16 12:16
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +8 $5 61¢ $5 $-0 07-16 12:17
Discord IPO before 2027? No +7 $4 67¢ $5 +$1 07-16 12:19
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +8 $4 50¢ $4 $-0 07-16 12:19
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +8 $4 50¢ $4 $-0 07-16 12:19
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +7 $5 57¢ $4 $-0 07-16 12:18
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +10 $5 40¢ $4 $-1 07-16 12:16