Realized P&L
-$378
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
44.7%
Resolved
855
Trades
1,045
lifetime
Volume
$3.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$72
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-16 12:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 19% -$343
Other
27% 84% -$40
Sports
9% 72% +$14
Politics
7% 59% -$10
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 96¢ $12 +$7 07-16 12:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $7 99¢ $9 +$2 06-10 12:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $7 100¢ $9 +$1 06-21 12:16
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 84¢ $7 +$3 07-16 12:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 05-27 12:16
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 10-10 12:18
Discord IPO before 2027? No +7 $4 94¢ $7 +$3 07-16 12:19
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +9 $4 69¢ $6 +$2 07-16 12:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 10-01 12:18
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +7 $4 46¢ $3 -$1 09-23 12:16
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 6¢ $0 -$5 05-28 12:16