Realized P&L (90d)
-$18
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved (90d)
53
Trades (90d)
51
1,048 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$301
$3.40K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$95
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 11-06 13:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Crypto
55% 19% -$343
Other
27% 83% -$40
Sports
9% 72% +$14
Politics
7% 62% -$7
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 98¢ $12 +$7 07-16 12:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $7 99¢ $9 +$2 06-10 12:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +9 $7 99¢ $9 +$1 06-21 12:16
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +8 $5 95¢ $8 +$3 07-16 12:17
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +9 $4 82¢ $7 +$3 07-16 12:18
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 05-27 12:16
Discord IPO before 2027? No +7 $4 98¢ $7 +$3 07-16 12:19
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 84¢ $7 +$3 07-16 12:17
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +7 $5 94¢ $7 +$2 07-16 12:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +6 $4 95¢ $6 +$2 11-05 13:16
California voter ID referendum passes? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-02 12:18
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? No +8 $4 59¢ $5 +$0 10-15 12:19
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +7 $4 66¢ $4 +$0 09-23 12:16
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +10 $5 24¢ $2 -$3 11-04 13:16
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 05-28 12:16