Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$121
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
302
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$324
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 06-12 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
47%
Other
18%
Crypto
18%
Politics
18% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +315 $200 42¢ $132 $-68 06-09 18:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +112 $100 94¢ $106 +$6 06-09 18:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -485 $-73 16¢ $-75 $-2 06-12 19:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +170 $68 $11 $-57 06-07 21:41