Realized P&L
+$608
Unrealized P&L
+$103
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
122
Trades
461
lifetime
Volume
$27.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$746
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-27 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Tech
41% 50% +$1,987
Politics
27% 41% -$43
Other
20% 26% -$625
Crypto
11% 45% -$687
Sports
2% 50% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -894 -$329 18¢ $-165 +$163 10-26 05:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +194 $170 56¢ $108 -$63 10-27 16:33
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 -$34 99¢ $99 +$133 10-27 20:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +90 $49 85¢ $76 +$28 10-27 15:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +68 $65 95¢ $65 $0 10-27 21:40
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +64 $55 90¢ $58 +$3 10-27 05:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +55 $48 96¢ $53 +$4 10-26 18:49
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +65 $53 70¢ $45 -$8 10-27 05:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -40 -$37 94¢ $-37 -$1 07-11 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +65 $43 32¢ $21 -$21 10-26 16:40
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +305 $90 5¢ $16 -$74 10-25 19:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -48 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 22:42
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +60 $21 2¢ $1 -$20 10-27 12:52
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $41 3¢ $-0 -$42 08-30 13:39