Realized P&L
-$2.95K
Unrealized P&L
-$672
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
557
Trades
2,227
lifetime
Volume
$96.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.40K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Sports
39% 55% -$3,344
Other
39% 75% +$214
Politics
22% 82% +$168
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -833 -$383 89¢ $-741 -$358 07-27 17:57
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +441 $375 86¢ $377 +$3 10-26 21:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +250 $215 92¢ $229 +$14 09-25 20:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +267 $146 66¢ $177 +$31 10-26 20:53
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +258 $129 59¢ $152 +$23 10-16 14:19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $84 69¢ $103 +$19 09-17 00:42
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +10,000 $50 1¢ $75 +$25 08-31 17:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 68¢ $68 +$4 09-10 23:27
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -530 $371 12¢ $-61 -$432 10-25 16:01
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +60 $49 80¢ $48 -$1 10-06 09:54
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $50 4¢ $45 -$5 09-15 08:52
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,000 $39 1¢ $44 +$4 10-24 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $48 42¢ $42 -$6 09-23 14:47
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +50 $36 80¢ $40 +$4 10-07 01:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -189 -$28 18¢ $-33 -$5 06-22 16:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $32 61¢ $30 -$1 10-25 22:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $30 15¢ $29 -$1 10-20 22:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -91 -$32 26¢ $-24 +$8 06-22 16:25
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,550 $15 1¢ $16 +$1 09-10 19:20
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +127 $26 13¢ $16 -$9 10-19 23:31
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +50 $17 22¢ $11 -$6 09-04 22:36
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +200 $6 4¢ $8 +$2 09-16 18:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8 $6 92¢ $7 +$1 10-13 09:27
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -3,597 -$11 0¢ $-5 +$6 09-12 09:21
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 08-17 04:53
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes -2,285 -$15 0¢ $-3 +$11 09-07 12:47
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -60 -$6 5¢ $-3 +$3 09-16 08:26
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -3 -$2 77¢ $-2 $0 09-02 22:08
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-26 15:05
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 5¢ $1 +$0 10-20 20:49