Realized P&L (90d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved (90d)
24
Trades (90d)
33
1,738 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$295
$4.94K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$121
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-30 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
54% 68% +$156
Crypto
30% 41% -$66
Politics
8% 24% -$1
Sports
6% 30% -$108
Tech
1% 20% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +60 $40 76¢ $45 +$5 10-28 16:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +38 $20 47¢ $18 -$2 09-25 09:18
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 07-17 04:20
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +38 $5 18¢ $7 +$2 09-14 13:33
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 66¢ $7 -$2 07-21 22:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $4 88¢ $7 +$3 07-16 23:04
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38 $5 15¢ $6 +$1 10-10 09:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 90¢ $5 +$2 07-17 00:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-17 00:07
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 07-23 16:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $4 +$1 07-17 00:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17 $5 19¢ $3 -$2 10-02 12:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +48 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 10-02 12:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +24 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-02 12:02
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -4 -$1 9¢ $-0 +$0 07-15 14:53