Realized P&L
-$155.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$762
Hit rate
22.6%
Resolved
42
Trades
1,268
lifetime
Volume
$407.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$321
Open exposure
$28.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-25 08:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
52% 27% -$160,341
Sports
40% 57% -$4,779
Politics
7% 0% -$1,474
Crypto
2% 80% +$11,070
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +52,881 $13,706 26¢ $14.0K +$307 10-24 11:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +12,903 $6,980 62¢ $8.0K +$974 08-04 21:10
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,643 $1,862 34¢ $1.9K +$28 10-24 11:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,656 $1,384 18¢ $1.2K -$170 08-04 21:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,946 $807 16¢ $960 +$154 08-04 13:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,065 $969 87¢ $927 -$42 08-04 13:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +618 $496 80¢ $497 +$1 08-04 13:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,712 $2,150 10¢ $353 -$1,797 08-04 12:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,013 $340 16¢ $331 -$9 10-25 08:29
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -218 -$205 97¢ $-212 -$6 06-21 10:29
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +173 $152 88¢ $151 -$1 10-25 08:39
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,089 -$59 2¢ $-62 -$3 06-21 10:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $198 6¢ $36 -$163 08-05 05:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +13 $10 83¢ $11 +$1 06-11 11:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21 Yes +51 $42 16¢ $8 -$34 08-04 11:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +11 $6 34¢ $4 -$2 08-05 06:51