Realized P&L
-$97
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
971
Trades
1,481
lifetime
Volume
$7.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$67
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 05-15 15:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
52% 47% -$4
Sports
37% 49% -$61
Crypto
7% 50% -$4
Politics
4% 44% -$28
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -17 -$11 97¢ $-17 -$5 05-15 15:22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -9 -$5 96¢ $-8 -$3 05-15 15:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -8 -$5 82¢ $-7 -$2 05-15 15:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -8 -$4 80¢ $-7 -$2 05-15 15:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -8 -$5 73¢ $-6 -$1 05-15 15:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -7 -$5 68¢ $-5 $0 05-15 15:21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$5 52¢ $-4 +$1 05-15 15:21
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No -7 -$4 54¢ $-4 +$0 05-15 15:20
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -9 -$5 40¢ $-4 +$2 05-15 15:22
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -9 -$4 18¢ $-2 +$2 05-15 15:20
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -8 -$5 18¢ $-1 +$4 05-15 15:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 21¢ $-1 +$0 05-15 15:19
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -10 -$5 9¢ $-1 +$5 05-15 15:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -9 -$5 9¢ $-1 +$4 05-15 15:22