Notable-Lye 0x248ea6…55fb2b
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
31
31 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$30
$30 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-16 11:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55% — —
Politics
30% — —
Crypto
12% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 05-06 18:23
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +6 $2 38¢ $2 +$1 05-06 18:24
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +6 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 05-06 18:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes +117 $2 1¢ $2 $-0 05-15 11:15
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes +14 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 05-15 11:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +14 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 05-15 11:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 May 11-17? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 05-15 11:15
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 05-15 11:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +23 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:24
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +8 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 05-15 11:15
Will Solana reach $170 in May? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $-0 05-15 11:15
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? Yes -2 $-1 30¢ $-1 $-0 05-16 11:56
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:24
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes +31 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 05-06 18:24
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes -3 $-1 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-16 11:56
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m? No -3 $-1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-16 11:56