Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$121
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved
399
Trades
3,633
lifetime
Volume
$34.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$356
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-16 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 71% +$146
Politics
3% 40% -$37
Other
1% 33% -$124
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -100 -$49 93¢ $-93 -$44 05-10 14:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -463 -$126 18¢ $-84 +$43 07-25 08:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -573 -$74 10¢ $-56 +$17 07-25 08:02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$16 62¢ $-25 -$9 10-16 00:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -197 $17 12¢ $-23 -$40 10-16 00:54
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$15 88¢ $-22 -$7 05-04 02:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -540 $56 3¢ $-18 -$74 10-16 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -110 -$45 12¢ $-13 +$32 05-12 01:05
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +501 $55 2¢ $13 -$43 08-17 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -110 -$5 6¢ $-7 -$2 10-16 00:54
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -50 -$6 3¢ $-2 +$4 10-16 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 10-16 00:54
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -30 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$2 10-16 00:55