(anonymous) 0x286116…94e628
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$353
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
24
Trades
844
lifetime
Volume
$51.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$47.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
58% — —
Other
30% 100% +$11
Sports
11% 57% -$364
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,644 $16,938 84¢ $15.7K -$1,193 10-28 10:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +4,993 $4,335 99¢ $4.9K +$603 09-11 08:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3,576 $3,449 96¢ $3.4K -$10 09-14 16:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,408 $3,329 100¢ $3.4K +$76 09-14 00:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,256 $3,187 98¢ $3.2K +$2 10-27 20:10
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +18,972 $1,829 16¢ $3.0K +$1,121 10-28 11:12
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,197 $2,105 96¢ $2.1K +$7 09-15 03:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,440 $2,089 83¢ $2.0K -$63 09-10 22:24
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,081 $2,015 96¢ $2.0K -$8 10-27 21:51
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,462 $1,432 98¢ $1.4K $0 10-26 19:10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +979 $948 97¢ $949 +$1 10-27 18:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +974 $857 94¢ $920 +$63 09-03 12:01
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +833 $803 96¢ $804 +$1 10-28 00:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +602 $527 86¢ $521 -$7 10-21 19:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,440 $353 17¢ $414 +$61 09-10 05:19
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +385 $373 98¢ $378 +$5 09-09 22:40
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +280 $267 95¢ $266 $0 10-23 02:01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +263 $247 92¢ $243 -$4 10-22 01:29
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +233 $221 96¢ $222 +$1 09-10 16:36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +217 $201 92¢ $201 $0 10-24 15:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +205 $189 92¢ $188 -$1 10-22 06:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +157 $150 97¢ $152 +$2 09-14 04:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +3,576 $130 4¢ $138 +$8 09-13 13:07
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,197 $95 4¢ $85 -$10 09-13 21:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +602 $81 14¢ $81 $0 10-22 23:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +3,401 $71 2¢ $70 -$1 10-27 19:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,635 $52 4¢ $58 +$6 10-27 18:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +4,993 $661 1¢ $55 -$606 09-08 17:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +974 $121 6¢ $54 -$68 09-04 13:14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +971 $29 3¢ $30 +$1 10-28 07:26