Bland-Prevalence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

109

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$23

10 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-10 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 83% +$29

Other

28% 81% +$11

Sports

13% 50% +$13

Politics

7% 88% +$10

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+14	$9	63¢	$9	+$0	11-10 02:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	No	+10	$8	50¢	$5	-$3	11-10 02:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?	No	+10	$8	48¢	$5	-$3	11-10 02:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-06 01:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$0	94¢	$1	+$1	08-08 03:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$5	82¢	$1	+$6	08-24 07:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$3	90¢	$0	+$3	08-24 07:17
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$0	6¢	$0	+$0	09-25 03:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-25 01:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	08-01 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$125	66	66	+0	No	+$6	02-28 23:56
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$102	55	54	+0	open	—	07-25 01:37
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	02-18 22:51
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	5	$91	63	52	+11	Yes	+$9	10-12 02:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	3	$82	45	45	+0	No	+$5	08-28 02:15
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	2	$76	43	38	+5	No	+$1	09-28 01:52
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	5	$76	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-20 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	2	$75	45	39	+6	No	+$2	09-25 03:05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$72	315	297	+18	No	+$5	07-14 14:30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$72	373	422	-49	No	+$4	07-06 04:22
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	06-18 08:17
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	3	$66	34	34	+0	No	$0	06-18 08:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	3	$66	40	40	+0	No	+$5	09-22 02:22
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$64	34	34	+0	No	$0	06-18 08:22
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$63	33	32	+1	No	$0	06-18 08:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$61	32	31	+1	No	+$1	04-08 09:11
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	$0	03-13 03:12
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	3	$56	40	22	+18	No	+$3	07-22 04:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$54	29	28	+1	open	—	06-06 01:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$1	04-18 01:43
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	03-06 13:15
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$48	25	24	+1	No	+$0	03-18 15:23
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	4	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$1	04-23 11:03
will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$2	07-22 01:44
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$44	42	25	+17	Yes	-$9	10-29 05:55
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	3	$43	25	18	+7	No	+$0	02-20 09:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	2	$42	30	20	+10	Yes	-$8	10-29 05:53
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	1	$41	46	0	+46	No	+$5	08-28 02:16
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$41	22	21	+0	No	+$1	03-26 04:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$38	26	25	+1	open	—	08-08 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 02:27:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x851f46…
11-10 02:12:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd54f50…
11-10 02:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3fe454…
11-10 02:11:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xdc9791…
10-29 05:55:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x896d1e…
10-29 05:53:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xbde13f…
10-29 05:53:10	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x765985…
10-12 02:19:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe5576c…
10-12 02:15:15	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x4deac0…
10-12 02:13:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb6826e…
10-12 02:11:15	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0xb3c6b5…
10-12 02:11:02	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x4efcdc…
09-28 01:53:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xfce589…
09-28 01:52:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x92e085…
09-28 01:52:29	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xc95f36…
09-25 03:05:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x56bfc7…
09-25 03:05:23	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x19b0f8…
09-25 03:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x4f835a…
09-22 02:53:00	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x5dc486…
09-22 02:28:50	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xcb03f0…
09-22 02:27:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x39262b…
09-22 02:27:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x4b9712…
09-22 02:22:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1db577…
09-17 03:28:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x570d65…
09-17 03:28:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5a58a1…
09-10 03:27:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xe42e39…
09-10 03:27:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x46fce0…
09-10 03:26:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x048d7c…
09-03 01:58:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x937b5f…
09-03 01:58:03	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x0e0ff3…
09-03 01:57:45	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x74dc61…
09-03 01:57:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe43814…
08-28 02:47:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x31e3ef…
08-28 02:20:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x403481…
08-28 02:17:22	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x9e403a…
08-28 02:16:15	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xc9de4c…
08-28 02:15:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x04418b…
08-28 02:15:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x821a43…
08-24 07:21:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3eddc8…
08-24 07:20:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x02d060…
08-24 07:18:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x584764…
08-24 07:18:04	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0xcd52a0…
08-24 07:17:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x230448…
08-24 07:17:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xde599f…
08-24 07:17:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x698f0a…
08-15 03:35:12	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x24ec7c…
08-15 01:55:39	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x001824…
08-15 01:54:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x41ba53…
08-15 01:53:46	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xd366e8…
08-08 03:10:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x0313db…
08-08 03:10:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x039c6f…
08-08 03:10:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x3c2b18…
08-01 03:01:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xb2ddb3…
08-01 02:59:33	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x9ed4a4…
08-01 02:58:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x804d41…
08-01 02:57:09	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xcb999b…
08-01 02:56:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x3a05a2…
08-01 02:55:15	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x1b340d…
08-01 02:53:56	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2409e3…
08-01 02:53:03	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc2de40…
07-27 14:25:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x32bce7…
07-25 01:39:54	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0xa81104…
07-25 01:37:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x596df9…
07-22 04:47:39	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x61df0c…
07-22 01:57:58	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x875e0c…
07-22 01:46:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x9f8d3c…
07-22 01:45:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x25b0db…
07-22 01:45:00	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xa6bfb5…
07-22 01:44:09	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x740fd9…
07-18 09:07:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe06925…
07-18 09:06:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x247caa…
07-18 09:06:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xdee82b…
07-18 09:05:43	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x188b81…
07-18 09:03:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7ea80c…
07-16 09:48:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x955651…
07-16 09:47:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xc35ab4…
07-16 09:38:53	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x5231f3…
07-16 09:24:01	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xa82d5c…
07-16 09:20:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xaba2be…
07-16 09:19:04	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe78e82…
07-16 09:17:44	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x41af13…
07-16 09:17:19	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x04ea23…
07-16 09:16:13	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0xb05f98…
07-16 09:13:05	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0xc6d4c7…
07-14 15:56:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb052e6…
07-14 14:33:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x86f783…
07-14 14:32:20	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x193b54…
07-14 14:31:44	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0dbe3d…
07-14 14:30:34	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x3b8ee3…
07-14 14:30:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8746c0…
07-14 14:29:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x767c64…
07-14 14:28:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x203190…
07-09 09:53:41	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x749d21…
07-09 09:47:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x046027…
07-09 09:46:11	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xc3fc68…
07-09 09:44:19	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf9e3f2…
07-09 09:44:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x7a3ef9…
07-09 09:43:23	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x2f52c1…
07-09 09:43:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0xc793e3…
07-09 09:42:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x287e3a…