(anonymous) 0x2a712d…4f7d55 Create alert
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$761
Unrealized P&L
+$998
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved
37
Trades
480
lifetime
Volume
$48.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 11-11 15:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
59% 71% +$283
Other
37% 83% +$469
Crypto
3% 100% +$10
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,509 $1,283 90¢ $1.4K +$83 11-06 17:13
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +1,004 $951 95¢ $950 -$1 11-05 12:22
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? No +700 $588 84¢ $592 +$3 11-10 21:39
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +600 $534 93¢ $560 +$26 11-10 20:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +600 $534 92¢ $554 +$20 11-04 16:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +600 $504 90¢ $543 +$39 11-09 13:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +500 $446 98¢ $488 +$41 11-10 10:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +500 $486 94¢ $471 -$15 10-25 08:08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +442 $374 88¢ $387 +$13 11-05 18:05
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? Yes +350 $322 95¢ $333 +$11 11-07 14:46
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +400 $268 79¢ $316 +$48 11-11 13:09
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +350 $264 86¢ $301 +$38 11-05 13:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +300 $288 97¢ $292 +$4 11-04 17:03
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +301 $280 94¢ $283 +$3 11-05 12:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $276 92¢ $278 +$2 11-05 02:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +305 $1 88¢ $267 +$266 11-10 08:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +300 $213 78¢ $232 +$20 11-09 07:32
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027? No +300 $219 74¢ $220 +$2 11-11 12:14
Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 80% or higher? No +200 $179 98¢ $196 +$17 11-11 11:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +200 $187 95¢ $190 +$3 11-11 10:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $179 +$5 11-07 22:59
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $178 88¢ $175 -$3 11-04 17:03
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +181 $171 95¢ $171 -$1 11-05 12:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $116 77¢ $154 +$38 11-08 10:56
Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 -$6 74¢ $148 +$154 11-10 16:05
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +150 $120 85¢ $128 +$8 11-10 15:13
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +124 -$48 98¢ $121 +$169 11-09 15:36
Will there be no House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? Yes +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$1 11-11 12:34
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 -$1 11-05 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $84 46¢ $92 +$8 11-07 15:20