Faint-Magazine 0x2ab07f…bb95fb Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
110
Trades
412
lifetime
Volume
$34.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$84
Open exposure
$1.93K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 11-06 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
81% 71% +$219
Politics
11% 73% -$14
Tech
5% 100% +$6
Sports
3% 0% -$2
Crypto
0% 75% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +300 $293 99¢ $297 +$3 11-02 16:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +250 $244 98¢ $244 +$1 11-02 16:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +200 $198 99¢ $198 +$0 11-06 22:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -133 -$130 98¢ $-131 -$1 05-22 14:56
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$1 11-02 16:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$6 10-19 20:50
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 11-04 22:24
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 11-02 16:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +100 $95 96¢ $95 +$1 11-06 13:15
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $95 94¢ $94 -$1 11-05 20:22
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +70 $68 98¢ $68 +$0 11-02 17:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$0 11-03 16:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +50 $49 98¢ $49 +$0 11-06 20:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 11-03 02:43
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$1 11-02 16:48
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $48 95¢ $48 +$0 11-05 20:19
Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026? No +28 $28 99¢ $28 +$0 11-06 20:56
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -22 -$20 98¢ $-21 -$1 06-20 09:18
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -12 -$17 100¢ $-12 +$5 06-08 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-11 $0 05-04 00:47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-10 $0 07-01 06:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $10 20¢ $10 $0 11-06 20:38
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 11-04 22:17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 11-04 22:08
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 11-04 22:19
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 11-02 17:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-04 22:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $0 11-02 16:49
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 11-02 17:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 11-02 16:14