Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$7.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$92

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-15 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Crypto

30% 100% +$2

Sports

15% — —

Politics

13% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$17	88¢	$18	+$0	06-12 12:53
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$15	87¢	$17	+$2	06-03 18:10
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$15	82¢	$16	+$1	06-11 18:00
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$15	78¢	$16	+$1	06-11 17:19
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$14	76¢	$15	+$2	06-11 18:00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+20	$13	50¢	$10	$-3	06-15 19:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	8	$449	500	300	+200	open	—	03-03 10:16
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	01-09 14:43
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$258	0	300	-300	open	—	01-12 06:41
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	2	$210	110	110	+0	open	—	01-06 18:37
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	4	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	01-08 11:59
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	01-16 08:44
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 01:22
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 13:30
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	2	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 10:45
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$180	100	100	+0	open	—	01-13 05:38
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 14:26
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	4	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	01-22 07:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 09:43
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$145	150	0	+150	open	—	03-30 18:08
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$131	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 12:44
bitcoin up or down on january 28	7	$124	75	75	+0	open	—	01-28 11:40
lol navi gx 2026 02 22	3	$123	232	0	+232	open	—	02-22 18:01
ethereum up or down on january 8	3	$117	220	0	+220	open	—	01-07 19:02
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$116	120	0	+120	open	—	03-20 09:16
bitcoin up or down on february 1	4	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	02-01 10:04
bitcoin up or down on january 27	4	$102	70	70	+0	open	—	01-27 09:11
bitcoin up or down on january 25	8	$100	68	68	+0	open	—	01-25 07:43
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	02-25 14:18
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	01-07 19:09
lol lng up 2026 01 16 game2	5	$96	70	40	+30	open	—	02-03 10:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	4	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	04-14 22:32
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	01-07 18:27
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	2	$73	100	0	+100	open	—	03-04 06:32
bitcoin up or down january 26 5am et	3	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	01-26 10:22
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?	1	$58	60	0	+60	open	—	04-17 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 19:38:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x57c355…
06-12 12:53:43	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd37dda…
06-11 18:00:37	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd802e9…
06-11 18:00:21	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9226f0…
06-11 17:19:55	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x53e4a3…
06-09 19:58:54	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x7460df…
06-09 19:58:52	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x3f5796…
06-03 18:10:03	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x44f123…
05-20 04:49:46	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8c9ca0…
05-19 22:48:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa1b1b1…
05-07 21:19:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4e8705…
05-07 15:09:01	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe0c5af…
05-04 15:24:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc74702…
05-03 21:15:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xec0d7d…
05-03 20:54:10	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x336450…
05-03 20:01:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb72971…
05-01 09:41:56	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xbdc74d…
04-27 00:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23013f…
04-26 21:42:08	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa3acb5…
04-24 13:36:22	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x47098c…
04-23 14:43:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc93798…
04-23 14:40:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb1de4e…
04-17 19:12:22	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xfed90f…
04-16 16:17:00	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x72a128…
04-15 15:07:36	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x07c396…
04-14 22:32:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xda5d58…
04-14 22:30:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x98e477…
04-14 22:15:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x63400b…
04-14 22:13:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xb61d64…
04-14 18:21:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xe5af56…
04-03 20:03:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xca976a…
04-03 19:53:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xa401fd…
04-02 03:01:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd5d15f…
04-02 01:24:43	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b4f93…
04-01 18:14:17	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x892b11…
04-01 17:45:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x463698…
04-01 17:43:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4e8835…
04-01 17:38:15	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x51a036…
03-30 18:08:31	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xe60e63…
03-30 18:08:19	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x75edee…
03-25 13:33:07	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xeafea3…
03-25 12:40:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1ef89e…
03-25 12:39:53	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7bb26c…
03-25 12:10:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x572ddc…
03-22 06:44:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x20e609…
03-20 09:35:03	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xb2cd78…
03-20 09:19:41	bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xabf60a…
03-20 09:19:39	bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x835825…
03-20 09:17:01	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x64433d…
03-20 09:16:21	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x74a118…
03-17 07:08:19	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x7eed10…
03-17 06:48:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xea576c…
03-16 10:20:37	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8ffd26…
03-15 13:09:21	bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1b1fba…
03-15 12:55:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb3cf21…
03-12 14:31:37	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 03 12	Aurora	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x053390…
03-12 14:28:43	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 03 12	Team Yandex	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x786ed6…
03-12 14:27:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 12	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc66af2…
03-09 16:11:09	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x2f1543…
03-09 11:00:33	cs2 100t fokus 2026 03 09	100 Thieves	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x686213…
03-09 10:59:47	cs2 100t fokus 2026 03 09	100 Thieves	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x945f38…
03-09 10:58:53	cs2 100t fokus 2026 03 09	FOKUS	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x6b03b7…
03-09 10:52:09	cs2 100t fokus 2026 03 09	100 Thieves	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0xddbb08…
03-09 10:51:39	cs2 100t fokus 2026 03 09	100 Thieves	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x76433f…
03-09 05:31:25	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0xb0c4c4…
03-08 04:33:13	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3df021…
03-08 04:31:55	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x93db69…
03-06 03:34:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6979b9…
03-06 03:33:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf31da5…
03-06 03:32:39	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x77ce2b…
03-06 03:32:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x73bb03…
03-05 15:22:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf9738d…
03-05 04:34:11	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x76d0a4…
03-05 04:34:01	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x35abee…
03-04 14:57:41	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xa97efb…
03-04 14:57:01	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xff4e39…
03-04 06:32:53	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	81	73¢	$59	0x0e7aa9…
03-04 06:31:35	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x3cebb7…
03-04 02:45:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x8e8ab5…
03-04 02:43:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xb1941a…
03-03 10:16:37	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Invictus Gaming	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xf54c57…
03-03 10:16:15	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x03050f…
03-03 10:16:13	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0x7b5975…
03-03 10:16:13	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	SELL	72	32¢	$23	0x1fd7c1…
03-03 10:16:09	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd2aaa1…
03-03 10:16:07	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x7f74cd…
03-03 10:08:09	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe7b26f…
03-03 10:03:07	lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game2	Anyone's Legend	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xaa08a6…
02-28 05:43:29	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb5e564…
02-28 03:32:59	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1d998d…
02-25 14:18:32	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 27	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5447f8…
02-25 14:18:22	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6078fa…
02-24 16:46:04	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2085f0…
02-24 16:45:58	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x301226…
02-24 15:52:46	nba nyk cle 2026 02 24	Knicks	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x007259…
02-24 15:05:06	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 spread home 2pt5	Qarabağ Ağdam FK	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x69c3e7…
02-24 14:02:46	nhl wpg van 2026 02 25	Jets	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x6aa140…
02-24 01:01:24	nba uta hou 2026 02 23	Jazz	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb00cb0…
02-23 22:40:22	nba sas det 2026 02 23 total 232pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb1353d…
02-23 22:14:48	nba sac mem 2026 02 23	Grizzlies	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x9a35f9…