Realized P&L
+$497
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
276
Trades
431
lifetime
Volume
$8.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$300
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-23 10:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
41% 69% +$10
Crypto
31% 98% +$449
Sports
13% 51% -$26
Politics
12% 87% +$55
Tech
2% 78% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +246 $151 56¢ $139 -$12 10-01 10:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -100 -$94 98¢ $-98 -$4 05-09 13:02
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +58 $44 71¢ $41 -$3 10-23 10:10
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +30 $21 72¢ $22 +$0 09-14 15:14