Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
178
lifetime
Volume
$2.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$459
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-10 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$3
Sports
19% 40% +$7
Crypto
17%
Politics
11%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -2,356 $-153 $-145 +$8 06-02 00:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes +387 $20 16¢ $60 +$40 06-03 03:13
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No -818 $-90 $-53 +$37 06-01 03:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -736 $-40 $-37 +$3 06-02 00:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes -909 $-16 $-36 $-20 06-10 00:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -343 $-51 11¢ $-36 +$15 06-02 00:24
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -167 $-36 20¢ $-34 +$2 06-02 00:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +383 $20 $29 +$9 05-30 18:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +1,209 $105 $18 $-87 06-05 03:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -87 $-14 $-6 +$8 06-02 00:25
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +250 $10 $4 $-6 05-30 02:41