Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$113
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$84
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 19:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
47%
Other
36%
Sports
6%
Tech
6%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? Yes +89 $5 $6 +$1 05-14 01:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +72 $5 $5 +$0 05-10 16:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +75 $5 $5 +$0 05-08 08:05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +59 $5 $5 $-0 05-13 01:13
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +82 $4 $5 +$1 05-14 12:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +93 $5 $5 $-0 05-09 19:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +86 $5 $5 $-0 05-10 00:21
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? Yes -57 $-4 $-4 $-0 05-14 19:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes +93 $5 $4 $-1 05-13 04:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Yes +83 $5 $4 $-1 05-13 23:17
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? No -45 $-5 $-4 +$1 05-10 06:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes +51 $6 $3 $-3 05-14 11:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes +56 $5 $3 $-2 05-13 11:33
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -31 $-2 10¢ $-3 $-1 05-08 21:51
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes -47 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-09 19:58
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Yes +40 $3 $3 +$0 05-12 21:10
Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? Yes +73 $4 $3 $-1 05-08 08:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -26 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-11 03:53
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? No +24 $2 $2 $-0 05-11 14:04
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -11 $-1 15¢ $-2 $-1 05-10 15:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +48 $5 $2 $-3 05-10 13:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 05-11 14:15
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 05-10 02:43
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? No +23 $1 $1 $-0 05-11 08:25
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +14 $1 $1 +$0 05-09 17:39
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 05-07 04:22
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes -9 $-0 $-1 $-0 05-13 20:22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes +28 $3 $1 $-2 05-10 01:38