Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
853
lifetime
Volume
$748
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$32
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 07-21 07:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
62% 75% +$0
Politics
33%
Sports
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 $-0 06-05 20:17
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$0 07-19 21:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 20:17
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-02 17:42
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 07-16 15:17
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-19 06:40
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -2 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 20:17
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 20:17
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-30 10:40
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 07-17 07:45
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-16 14:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-05 20:17