Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
685
lifetime
Volume
$703
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$40
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 06-30 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61% 75% +$0
Politics
34%
Sports
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $-0 06-21 22:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 86¢ $-9 +$0 06-05 20:17
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +4 $4 87¢ $4 $-0 06-28 17:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 20:17
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-28 14:00
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -2 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 20:17
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 20:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-25 21:57
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-30 10:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-05 20:17
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-29 15:41