(anonymous) 0x39cb5f…5d77fb Create alert
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
203
Trades
1,682
lifetime
Volume
$1.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$76
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 10-18 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
68% 66% -$9
Politics
30% 53% -$5
Sports
2% 68% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -19 -$19 96¢ $-19 +$0 06-05 20:16
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 95¢ $16 +$1 10-18 20:07
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -10 -$9 86¢ $-9 +$0 05-11 07:42
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 $0 07-16 14:59
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +5 $8 98¢ $4 -$3 07-19 21:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 06-05 20:17
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -3 -$2 97¢ $-3 -$1 04-29 14:18
will tunisia recognize israel by december 31 No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 07-05 09:33
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-16 15:17
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-19 06:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 -$1 97¢ $-2 $0 06-05 20:17
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-22 00:52
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-08 15:26
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 07-22 00:36
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 -$1 90¢ $-1 $0 05-11 20:06
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-05 20:17
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 $2 98¢ $-1 -$3 06-05 20:17
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 07-13 11:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No -1 $0 97¢ $-1 $0 05-13 15:50
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 07-17 07:45
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 07-02 17:42