Gigantic-Ramen — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

127

3,948 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$227

$11.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-04 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

49% 39% -$42

Politics

47% 47% -$1

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 1217 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	Yes	-180	$6	2¢	$-3	-$9	06-02 08:35
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	-40	-$5	6¢	$-2	+$3	10-29 10:49
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+183	$26	1¢	$1	-$25	11-04 02:19
will syria recognize israel by december 31	Yes	-40	$12	2¢	$-1	-$12	10-30 21:27
will tunisia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	-20	$0	1¢	$-0	-$1	10-30 21:26
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$5	3¢	$0	-$5	08-26 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	94	$581	2,097	2,097	+0	open	—	08-17 09:17
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	111	$516	2,821	2,821	+0	open	—	10-30 20:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	40	$489	1,169	1,169	+0	No	-$9	04-22 11:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	84	$476	1,804	1,804	+0	open	—	09-02 09:21
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	105	$474	1,812	1,812	+0	open	—	10-30 20:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	94	$464	1,810	1,810	+0	open	—	08-22 00:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	93	$456	1,859	1,859	+0	open	—	09-02 09:22
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	90	$394	2,086	2,086	+0	open	—	10-30 21:26
wti up or down on april 17 2026	12	$389	600	600	+0	Down	-$31	04-17 10:04
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	93	$378	2,238	2,278	-40	open	—	10-30 21:27
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	66	$327	1,306	1,346	-40	open	—	10-29 10:49
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	62	$259	1,910	1,910	+0	open	—	10-30 20:27
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	1,274	$253	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	10-27 22:26
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	14	$227	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	08-28 20:58
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	76	$211	2,053	2,053	+0	open	—	10-30 20:27
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	87	$209	1,311	1,331	-20	open	—	10-30 21:26
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	46	$200	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	10-27 22:26
spy up or down on april 17 2026	4	$199	200	200	+0	Up	-$1	04-17 09:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	30	$196	658	658	+0	open	—	08-22 10:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	26	$177	535	535	+0	open	—	08-22 10:27
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	60	$172	1,722	1,722	+0	open	—	11-02 20:08
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	81	$168	1,474	1,474	+0	open	—	11-02 20:08
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	47	$167	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	10-30 21:48
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $30.5B by October 31?	9	$154	184	184	+0	Yes	+$31	10-07 17:40
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	14	$153	298	298	+0	open	—	09-02 09:23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	9	$144	471	471	+0	open	—	08-07 14:03
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	40	$136	1,223	1,223	+0	open	—	10-30 20:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	34	$135	723	723	+0	open	—	08-22 10:28
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	141	$111	1,287	1,287	+0	open	—	10-30 20:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	23	$92	592	592	+0	open	—	08-22 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:19:18	Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x897e31…
11-02 20:08:58	Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x3bfbb5…
11-02 20:08:40	Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x96d03a…
11-02 20:08:22	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xe35621…
11-02 20:08:07	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0xf89e19…
11-01 19:24:55	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf62641…
10-31 16:59:07	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xb2455e…
10-31 16:59:07	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x979f78…
10-30 21:52:48	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xa5420d…
10-30 21:48:30	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xdeff12…
10-30 21:27:06	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x79212b…
10-30 21:26:25	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x7e67cb…
10-30 21:26:12	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xda4e52…
10-30 20:38:51	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x81644e…
10-30 20:29:37	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x6bb66a…
10-30 20:29:13	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	4¢	$4	0xc0f343…
10-30 20:28:45	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	4¢	$4	0x8850d2…
10-30 20:28:31	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x0f6c01…
10-30 20:28:00	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x44365d…
10-30 20:27:46	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$2	0x54d142…
10-30 20:27:03	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xf99065…
10-30 20:26:52	Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xf8f37e…
10-30 20:26:25	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0x6b106e…
10-30 14:41:06	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xd38c74…
10-30 14:36:49	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xd79859…
10-30 03:32:55	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc0cf75…
10-29 22:09:01	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x594c3d…
10-29 22:08:54	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	193	2¢	$4	0xd48b58…
10-29 21:52:03	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0x801e8c…
10-29 10:49:13	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x83c067…
10-29 01:03:07	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x327aa3…
10-28 17:57:02	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x95a735…
10-28 11:13:02	Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x984acc…
10-28 11:11:25	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x4f8d80…
10-28 11:11:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc81b3b…
10-28 04:47:47	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x084f73…
10-28 01:32:15	Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe901cf…
10-27 23:27:47	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x892240…
10-27 22:27:27	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x858438…
10-27 22:27:23	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x55ab13…
10-27 22:27:12	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xa757b5…
10-27 22:27:06	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb54dba…
10-27 22:26:45	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	206	3¢	$7	0xeda3aa…
10-27 22:26:30	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x461816…
10-27 22:26:26	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x242bfb…
10-27 21:16:53	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xdbebcf…
10-27 21:16:02	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x86b1ee…
10-27 21:15:26	Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xf42916…
10-27 21:12:39	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x9d8b1b…
10-27 18:25:41	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1cf1b2…
10-27 18:12:41	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x1702a4…
10-27 15:55:20	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xdb0223…
10-27 15:22:08	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x97046a…
10-27 13:34:32	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x3a7ce8…
10-27 10:22:39	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x57ffaf…
10-27 10:07:15	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x377ffc…
10-27 10:05:42	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb96f59…
10-27 05:29:12	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x296f24…
10-27 04:58:51	Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0xf1e5cc…
10-27 02:06:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xf7b226…
10-26 21:11:29	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x565137…
10-26 19:11:12	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xad93c8…
10-26 19:07:53	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x23eb20…
10-26 19:06:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	82	4¢	$3	0xd17798…
10-26 19:05:42	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$4	0xbf82ad…
10-26 19:03:50	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0x44301d…
10-26 19:02:29	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8664ac…
10-26 19:01:11	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$2	0x2019e9…
10-26 18:59:48	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x46dcb4…
10-26 18:59:32	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa89d34…
10-26 18:57:21	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0xc2d980…
10-26 18:57:20	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x232b9d…
10-26 18:57:18	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0x34fc05…
10-26 18:56:39	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xe4ac81…
10-26 18:56:14	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xcc0a91…
10-26 18:55:26	Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x03d1ee…
10-26 18:54:56	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1380b6…
10-26 18:54:18	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8ebb0a…
10-26 18:53:21	Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x197335…
10-26 18:52:48	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x4b88ab…
10-26 18:52:03	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xa7384c…
10-26 18:51:20	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0xc21ea3…
10-26 18:50:53	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe13d0b…
10-26 18:50:29	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xed0e5d…
10-26 18:49:38	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x394e78…
10-26 18:49:15	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xf42a37…
10-26 18:34:02	Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa831c4…
10-26 15:06:29	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	164	4¢	$6	0x479b80…
10-26 15:06:29	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x09bda7…
10-24 13:31:56	Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x7cc211…
10-24 11:39:48	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x1b0493…
10-24 11:33:45	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xa7fb33…
10-24 10:11:35	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xbc66dc…
10-24 08:12:53	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x168c3a…
10-24 08:11:14	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xca24ff…
10-23 20:22:44	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe167b0…
10-23 20:04:27	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x2aea43…
10-23 18:32:26	Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x68a751…
10-23 16:39:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xda885b…
10-23 15:36:12	Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1f643a…