Starry-Discrimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

25.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

71 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.21K

$24.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$342

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 09-24 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% +$210

Politics

23% 25% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	09-24 07:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2	$1.1K	590	590	+0	open	—	05-22 06:42
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	-$23	05-27 06:58
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	2	$1.0K	560	560	+0	open	—	05-26 11:10
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	2	$1.0K	535	535	+0	open	—	05-21 06:18
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$999	540	540	+0	No	-$5	05-25 08:00
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	2	$998	525	525	+0	No	+$0	05-23 05:06
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	5	$961	525	525	+0	open	—	06-12 06:41
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	2	$856	465	465	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 07:40
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	2	$856	465	465	+0	No	+$0	08-10 06:25
will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	2	$855	450	450	+0	No	+$0	08-11 02:06
will russia capture verkhnia tersa by september 30	3	$855	470	470	+0	No	+$0	08-17 08:51
will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	2	$855	475	475	+0	open	—	08-11 06:59
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by september 30	2	$853	470	470	+0	No	+$2	08-17 07:39
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	2	$841	440	440	+0	open	—	07-13 07:49
will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	2	$833	435	435	+0	No	+$1	07-13 06:30
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	3	$754	410	410	+0	open	—	08-29 02:55
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	2	$747	393	393	+0	No	+$0	06-25 06:45
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	2	$747	388	388	+0	No	+$0	06-24 06:51
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$745	405	405	+0	No	+$0	06-24 03:27
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$741	390	390	+0	No	+$0	08-29 02:17
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	2	$733	405	405	+0	open	—	06-26 02:39
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$730	384	384	+0	open	—	06-26 05:54
will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	3	$726	400	400	+0	No	-$5	06-25 08:13
Spread: Nice (-2.5)	1	$557	580	0	+580	Saint-Etienne	+$23	05-26 11:13
Spread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-2.5)	1	$550	585	0	+585	IR Tanger	+$35	05-22 06:48
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	1	$541	565	0	+565	Tromsø IL	+$24	05-25 08:06
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	1	$539	580	0	+580	BESTIA	+$41	05-27 07:08
Spread: FC København (-2.5)	1	$506	550	0	+550	Brøndby IF	+$44	05-21 06:23
Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5)	1	$499	548	0	+548	US Yacoub El Mansour	+$49	05-23 05:09
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	3	$478	510	0	+510	Under	+$32	06-12 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 07:11:56	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb33a7f…
08-29 02:55:33	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	410	92¢	$377	0xb7564e…
08-29 02:25:27	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x8c741b…
08-29 02:25:16	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	92¢	$193	0xed7a5e…
08-29 02:17:43	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	390	95¢	$370	0xd32b8c…
08-29 01:38:49	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	390	95¢	$370	0x59018c…
08-17 08:51:25	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by september 30	No	SELL	460	91¢	$419	0xcd6615…
08-17 08:50:24	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by september 30	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x3d0a34…
08-17 07:49:12	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by september 30	No	BUY	470	91¢	$428	0x270b2a…
08-17 07:39:22	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by september 30	No	SELL	470	91¢	$428	0x8f2023…
08-17 06:19:27	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by september 30	No	BUY	470	90¢	$425	0xcf7efe…
08-11 06:59:04	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	SELL	475	90¢	$428	0xeb7e4f…
08-11 02:34:51	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	BUY	475	90¢	$428	0xe21252…
08-11 02:06:58	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	SELL	450	95¢	$428	0xa41b79…
08-11 01:28:16	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	450	95¢	$428	0xa1b7f4…
08-10 07:40:33	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	465	92¢	$428	0xf3a0c3…
08-10 06:59:57	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	465	92¢	$428	0xf3ef09…
08-10 06:25:31	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	465	92¢	$428	0x04e349…
08-10 05:24:18	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	465	92¢	$428	0x7d0f63…
07-13 07:49:44	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	440	96¢	$421	0x474690…
07-13 07:04:32	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	96¢	$420	0xd3f5ff…
07-13 06:30:19	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	SELL	435	96¢	$417	0xd0cc9d…
07-13 05:38:53	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	BUY	435	96¢	$416	0xa0b8bc…
07-09 08:35:59	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	Yes	SELL	915	6¢	$55	0x2b7c36…
07-09 07:55:49	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	Yes	BUY	455	6¢	$27	0x50a97f…
07-09 07:55:32	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	Yes	BUY	460	6¢	$28	0x616aaf…
07-09 07:40:37	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	485	8¢	$39	0x494e40…
07-09 07:40:25	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	450	8¢	$36	0x15ea77…
07-09 06:47:19	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	485	8¢	$39	0x84e11d…
07-09 06:47:04	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	450	8¢	$36	0xca29ec…
06-26 05:54:53	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	384	95¢	$365	0xa27308…
06-26 05:01:05	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	384	95¢	$365	0x1aff30…
06-26 02:39:20	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	405	90¢	$364	0xfea3cc…
06-26 01:40:14	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	405	91¢	$369	0xeab686…
06-25 08:13:52	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	SELL	143	89¢	$128	0x9a6f91…
06-25 08:09:56	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	SELL	257	91¢	$233	0x5a97db…
06-25 07:23:22	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	BUY	400	91¢	$366	0xb5dcd3…
06-25 06:45:23	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	393	95¢	$373	0xb465ef…
06-25 05:49:43	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	393	95¢	$373	0xf192a0…
06-24 06:51:41	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	388	96¢	$373	0xa3cd9f…
06-24 06:01:29	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	388	96¢	$373	0x067674…
06-24 03:27:37	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	405	92¢	$373	0x6adf84…
06-24 02:11:52	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	405	92¢	$373	0xf0c4a5…
06-12 06:49:03	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x303b27…
06-12 06:48:30	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xd67742…
06-12 06:48:15	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xd3bc89…
06-12 06:41:03	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xc101be…
06-12 06:40:21	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x041a95…
06-12 06:40:10	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	460	91¢	$419	0x710411…
06-12 05:08:34	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x70dbff…
06-12 05:08:12	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	515	92¢	$474	0xc66985…
05-27 07:08:41	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	BESTIA	BUY	580	93¢	$539	0x480d1f…
05-27 06:58:11	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	SELL	580	90¢	$522	0x96016c…
05-27 02:48:04	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	580	94¢	$545	0x78c82c…
05-26 11:13:42	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	580	96¢	$557	0x0c29da…
05-26 11:10:40	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	560	93¢	$522	0x8e48b5…
05-26 10:00:16	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	560	93¢	$520	0x41ef56…
05-25 08:06:51	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Tromsø IL	BUY	565	96¢	$541	0xe50649…
05-25 08:00:15	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	540	92¢	$497	0x32c3e2…
05-25 05:09:10	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	540	93¢	$502	0x3b6f6b…
05-23 05:09:39	Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5)	US Yacoub El Mansour	BUY	548	91¢	$499	0xc20077…
05-23 05:06:15	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	525	95¢	$499	0xa5670f…
05-23 03:41:08	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	525	95¢	$499	0xf6ba68…
05-22 06:48:50	Spread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-2.5)	IR Tanger	BUY	585	94¢	$550	0x081e6f…
05-22 06:42:55	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	590	93¢	$550	0x057fca…
05-22 04:44:09	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	590	93¢	$550	0xcfbf78…
05-21 06:23:53	Spread: FC København (-2.5)	Brøndby IF	BUY	550	92¢	$506	0x0ab87d…
05-21 06:18:20	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	535	95¢	$509	0xea23e6…
05-21 03:25:37	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	535	95¢	$509	0xb3985d…
04-25 06:47:52	Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	405	98¢	$396	0x9f80b1…
03-23 06:59:03	cs2 gz1 mf 2026 03 23	Mindfreak	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x6313e0…