Realized P&L
-$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
56.0%
Resolved
8,614
Trades
15,531
lifetime
Volume
$95.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$252
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-02 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Crypto
86% 64% -$1,166
Other
8% 75% -$112
Politics
6% 82% +$164
Tech
1% 70% -$48
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -45 -$42 94¢ $-43 -$1 10-02 02:38
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -31 -$29 91¢ $-28 +$1 10-02 02:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -27 -$27 82¢ $-22 +$6 10-02 02:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -22 -$20 98¢ $-21 -$1 05-22 18:03
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -22 -$20 96¢ $-21 -$1 05-22 00:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -22 -$17 92¢ $-21 -$3 05-16 21:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -27 -$16 64¢ $-18 -$2 05-08 20:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -16 -$13 92¢ $-14 -$1 10-02 02:38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -19 -$12 66¢ $-13 -$1 10-02 02:39
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -12 -$11 97¢ $-12 $0 10-02 02:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No -12 -$11 96¢ $-11 +$0 10-02 02:39
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -14 -$12 80¢ $-11 +$1 10-02 02:39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-11 $0 10-02 02:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17 -$4 16¢ $-3 +$2 05-12 16:19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 10-02 02:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -11 -$4 18¢ $-2 +$2 05-15 03:57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -15 -$6 4¢ $-1 +$5 05-12 16:26
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -12 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-12 16:19