Realized P&L
-$102
Unrealized P&L
-$225
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
675
Trades
1,078
lifetime
Volume
$14.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.38K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-31 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
38% 51% +$182
Politics
22% 58% -$72
Crypto
22% 55% +$46
Sports
18% 51% -$214
Tech
0% 29% -$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,285 -$1,008 96¢ $-1238 -$231 09-29 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $36 72¢ $36 +$0 10-31 00:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -31 -$30 97¢ $-30 $0 09-29 12:31
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +26 $20 78¢ $20 +$0 10-30 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $14 28¢ $14 +$0 10-31 12:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -276 -$14 3¢ $-9 +$5 10-17 11:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -9 -$8 96¢ $-8 $0 10-27 13:19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -184 -$7 4¢ $-7 $0 10-27 14:19
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -8 -$7 96¢ $-7 $0 10-27 13:20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 07-06 18:17
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 07-06 18:17