Composed-Basin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-24 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

27% 83% +$25

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$1.0K	476	584	-108	open	—	01-28 13:47
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$738	713	51	+662	open	—	01-30 14:58
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	8	$517	265	265	+0	open	—	05-14 17:23
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$496	249	249	+0	open	—	02-09 10:14
US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?	3	$462	284	184	+100	open	—	01-23 15:55
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 50 51f	6	$413	213	213	+0	open	—	03-13 01:52
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	3	$402	230	216	+14	open	—	01-10 08:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$393	248	248	+0	open	—	02-12 14:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$380	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$378	200	199	+1	open	—	04-25 22:41
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 44 45f	3	$310	160	160	+0	open	—	03-12 07:56
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	16	$295	150	150	+0	open	—	03-11 07:51
will magiclab have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	4	$270	142	142	+0	open	—	02-14 15:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$262	146	146	+0	open	—	05-04 15:44
zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	3	$259	131	131	+0	open	—	02-26 08:42
will china join the board of peace	2	$256	207	57	+150	open	—	02-24 23:49
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	3	$253	310	310	+0	open	—	03-12 09:09
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 50 51f	11	$250	130	130	+0	open	—	03-11 08:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 62 63f	7	$243	130	130	-0	open	—	03-10 14:52
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 74 75f	14	$234	123	123	+0	open	—	03-17 14:08
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	2	$229	120	120	+0	Yes	$-1	05-10 15:24
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 44 45f	4	$214	220	0	+220	open	—	03-14 00:54
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	02-15 18:39
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	01-28 13:48
will li guyi perform at the spring festival gala	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	02-09 18:07
trump out as president by march 31	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-21 23:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$201	104	104	+0	open	—	01-25 01:07
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 9	1	$200	216	0	+216	open	—	01-04 15:12
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	01-04 15:18
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 64 65f	9	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 15:07:10	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x4992f2…
06-17 02:40:12	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x6c5a6a…
06-17 02:39:40	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$157	0xf8242c…
06-04 08:21:18	Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xc215e1…
06-03 07:52:22	Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xd01966…
06-03 07:45:59	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0xe31ce7…
06-03 07:45:10	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	90	86¢	$77	0xf00086…
05-17 01:49:06	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfcf009…
05-17 01:48:10	Will Trump say "Blackwell" this week?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x198842…
05-15 10:03:09	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	SELL	67	58¢	$39	0x00c940…
05-15 10:02:16	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	SELL	66	23¢	$15	0x848178…
05-15 10:01:53	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	60	56¢	$34	0x234b3b…
05-15 10:01:45	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	58	65¢	$38	0x8a30c1…
05-15 06:55:34	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x967e3b…
05-14 17:38:09	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xd95a94…
05-14 17:35:42	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x9f73db…
05-14 17:34:38	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x71c9af…
05-14 17:24:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	87¢	$70	0xe09cd4…
05-14 17:23:13	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0xda277e…
05-14 17:15:05	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$40	0x6e1c73…
05-14 17:14:07	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	66	88¢	$59	0xa19b7b…
05-14 10:10:08	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x9e38cd…
05-13 17:43:29	Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x69e1e4…
05-13 17:43:11	Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xa7182c…
05-13 17:42:17	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xcb825f…
05-13 17:40:41	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x32a964…
05-13 17:40:20	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x74e2fa…
05-13 17:35:26	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xe645f3…
05-13 17:35:08	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x55e160…
05-13 10:04:25	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xc7539f…
05-12 12:53:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0xcb26ba…
05-12 11:40:48	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x239940…
05-12 11:40:04	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x03995d…
05-12 11:39:40	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x218f86…
05-12 11:39:10	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc91b80…
05-12 07:16:14	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd0dacf…
05-12 07:15:34	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x32bd35…
05-12 07:15:23	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x525dc7…
05-12 06:56:38	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xca46ae…
05-12 05:20:26	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xe4487d…
05-11 17:49:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0x4dd52b…
05-11 08:21:45	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x462abb…
05-11 08:21:28	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x2f017b…
05-11 08:21:17	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7b7f28…
05-11 08:20:12	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1555ad…
05-11 08:19:58	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7bbbe6…
05-11 08:19:18	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa20b1f…
05-11 08:15:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xec6ef0…
05-11 08:15:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x11e62f…
05-11 02:15:39	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x494312…
05-10 23:12:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x94b058…
05-10 23:08:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xba49f2…
05-10 23:07:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xa7f6e7…
05-10 15:25:28	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x740945…
05-10 15:24:32	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x7f7f05…
05-10 15:20:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xa90c83…
05-10 05:37:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x35d2ea…
05-10 05:36:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9735bc…
05-07 23:40:51	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$81	0xd3c9f6…
05-07 12:35:55	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x6b7333…
05-07 12:35:27	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x271e82…
05-07 05:25:56	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xdcba59…
05-06 02:53:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2b338c…
05-06 01:47:52	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7a9204…
05-06 01:46:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x55d20d…
05-06 01:45:54	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8ab832…
05-05 14:55:38	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1ed94e…
05-05 08:49:18	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc27f60…
05-04 15:44:14	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	146	95¢	$139	0x781131…
05-03 23:32:32	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xd3a8d5…
05-03 23:29:36	Will Trump say "President Xi" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xe781ff…
05-03 23:28:40	Will Trump say "President Xi" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6a381a…
04-25 22:41:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	199	97¢	$194	0x95e6c3…
04-23 10:25:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x2419be…
04-23 10:12:18	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	84¢	$39	0xa090ed…
04-19 12:29:20	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd529dc…
04-19 12:26:36	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x2f7d8b…
04-07 13:23:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x092ad9…
04-02 10:25:03	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x9d92c3…
04-02 10:24:43	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x85153e…
04-02 09:45:41	highest temperature in seattle on april 2 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x19418c…
03-28 17:58:31	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x9ef326…
03-28 03:55:13	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xb0b3a1…
03-27 10:50:17	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xa8e706…
03-25 13:53:55	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x44c83c…
03-25 05:44:19	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9bf69e…
03-24 04:08:37	highest temperature in los angeles on march 24 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x30c274…
03-23 18:22:57	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xaec445…
03-23 18:20:47	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0xcf9c38…
03-23 18:10:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcf5236…
03-23 17:56:43	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x4f8b9f…
03-23 08:40:21	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0xe1a5c9…
03-23 08:39:35	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd13b72…
03-23 08:38:53	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3675c6…
03-23 08:32:37	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3896ea…
03-23 08:32:19	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x04aa84…
03-23 08:21:05	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x3d1088…
03-23 08:16:05	highest temperature in miami on march 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1beaa1…
03-23 07:14:59	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71dfe7…
03-22 03:56:57	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xbaf52f…