Realized P&L
+$290
Unrealized P&L
+$319
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
124
Trades
472
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$603
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 11-02 02:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
56% 73% +$49
Sports
22% 59% +$171
Politics
20% 80% +$49
Crypto
1% 33% -$1
Tech
1% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,100 $145 22¢ $248 +$102 09-09 13:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -1,233 -$130 10¢ $-117 +$13 09-30 16:38
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -1,500 -$197 4¢ $-56 +$141 06-10 15:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -1,250 -$103 4¢ $-50 +$53 10-04 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -200 -$12 18¢ $-35 -$23 09-24 07:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -570 -$88 4¢ $-26 +$62 07-14 09:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +100 $12 18¢ $18 +$6 09-21 10:42
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +29 $1 54¢ $15 +$14 11-02 02:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +18 $13 72¢ $13 $0 11-02 02:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +150 $14 8¢ $13 -$1 10-27 08:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$13 6¢ $-6 +$6 07-09 17:31
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -27 $38 12¢ $-3 -$41 09-30 16:38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +31 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-29 08:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $11 12¢ $-1 -$12 10-03 19:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 05-01 07:03