Realized P&L
-$94
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
262
lifetime
Volume
$5.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$722
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 07-21 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
63% 100% +$17
Politics
19%
Sports
16% 0% $-111
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,600 $397 30¢ $472 +$75 07-21 15:07
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -1,000 $-156 12¢ $-115 +$41 07-05 19:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -570 $-88 15¢ $-83 +$5 07-14 09:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -109 $-20 18¢ $-20 $-1 07-03 09:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -250 $-29 $-17 +$12 06-10 15:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-13 14¢ $-13 $-0 07-09 17:31
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-17 17:26