New-Sponge-Fog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$901

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-20 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-1

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

19% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$190	190	190	+0	open	—	06-21 14:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	07-20 09:08
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	5	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 20:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	05-19 19:10
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-05 10:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	04-28 20:34
bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	07-02 08:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-25 21:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-13 09:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-25 21:11
bitcoin above 56k on july 14 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	07-13 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 20:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 21:12
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-28 20:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 11:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 19:13
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	07-13 20:18
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	07-20 10:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 21:11
Jiujiang: Jiaqi Wang vs Xiaodi You	1	$5	5	0	+5	Xiaodi You	+$0	05-05 10:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 10:37
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 21:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean	1	$1	3	0	+3	Leolia Jeanjean	$-1	05-05 10:39
atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-16 20:40
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:41:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x7da21b…
07-20 09:08:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe1973b…
07-13 20:18:52	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb31112…
07-13 19:44:44	bitcoin above 56k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbce1ef…
07-13 19:43:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x83b4c3…
07-02 08:42:49	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd58307…
06-21 14:16:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	10¢	$9	0xe48be3…
06-20 02:22:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	95	91¢	$86	0x33c551…
06-16 20:40:01	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Nicolas Kicker	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7a32a8…
06-16 14:42:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0x26027c…
06-16 14:38:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x6b8176…
06-16 02:32:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	9¢	$9	0x9ec723…
06-04 20:55:37	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xb1bdc0…
06-04 11:28:04	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0xb0bfb0…
06-04 10:20:28	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x71efb6…
06-04 10:14:48	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x7c9f15…
06-04 09:36:39	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6b1b10…
05-19 19:13:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x557d9b…
05-19 19:10:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xf452b5…
05-13 11:08:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x50bbdb…
05-13 09:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xeed7b3…
05-13 09:52:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb47110…
05-05 10:39:58	Jiujiang: Jiaqi Wang vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x697993…
05-05 10:39:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x8b3c67…
05-05 10:38:56	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x659df5…
05-05 10:37:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x331620…
04-28 20:34:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1ee86d…
04-28 20:32:40	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x781be0…
04-28 20:32:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe172fa…
04-25 21:13:00	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4dd353…
04-25 21:12:50	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2e24db…
04-25 21:12:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x99a3f9…
04-25 21:11:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17d349…
04-25 21:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7c6b2f…
04-25 21:11:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe63a29…