Realized P&L
+$2.15K
Unrealized P&L
-$205
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
238
Trades
919
lifetime
Volume
$97.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$4.81K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 08-25 06:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Politics
68% 50% +$340
Other
30% 58% +$1,793
Sports
1% 62% +$136
Crypto
1% 60% -$32
Tech
0% 0% -$88
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -1,000 -$948 95¢ $-947 +$0 08-25 06:10
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -830 -$764 93¢ $-772 -$8 08-25 06:11
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -650 -$598 94¢ $-614 -$16 08-25 06:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -600 -$546 96¢ $-577 -$31 08-25 06:11
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$410 98¢ $-488 -$78 08-25 06:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -500 -$450 97¢ $-484 -$34 05-04 04:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -400 -$336 94¢ $-374 -$38 08-25 06:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -400 -$284 74¢ $-294 -$10 08-25 06:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -150 -$123 94¢ $-141 -$18 05-12 11:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$106 18¢ $-89 +$17 05-03 12:25
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$40 4¢ $-28 +$12 08-25 06:12