Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$327

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$2.82K

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-24 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

61% 82% +$22

Other

34% 94% +$208

Sports

4% 100% +$88

Tech

1% 100% +$9

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+1,000	$966	97¢	$970	+$5	10-24 12:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$476	98¢	$490	+$14	10-13 05:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+500	$481	97¢	$484	+$2	09-24 19:10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$476	95¢	$477	+$1	09-15 23:33
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$283	96¢	$288	+$5	10-24 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$88	97¢	$97	+$8	09-21 15:11
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$17	92¢	$18	+$2	09-27 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	64	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$7	06-22 13:44
Trump out as President by June 30?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$24	06-18 00:44
Netanyahu out by June 30?	32	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$32	06-25 02:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	11	$2.9K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	+$41	06-16 07:27
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-01 08:26
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	14	$1.4K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$11	08-10 01:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	10	$1.4K	900	600	+300	No	+$73	07-01 10:01
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	24	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$88	07-07 00:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	5	$1.0K	700	350	+350	No	+$12	08-04 11:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	11	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$8	06-14 12:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$11	06-14 22:25
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$982	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$18	06-17 18:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$966	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-24 12:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$945	500	500	+0	open	—	10-23 16:58
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	6	$852	600	300	+300	open	—	10-24 12:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$845	500	500	+0	open	—	08-31 12:37
dtrump out as president by september 30	3	$795	400	400	+0	No	+$4	09-24 04:06
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$490	500	0	+500	No	+$10	08-09 23:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$481	500	0	+500	open	—	09-24 19:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	9	$478	300	300	+0	No	-$22	06-29 14:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$476	500	0	+500	open	—	10-13 05:36
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$476	500	0	+500	open	—	09-15 23:33
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	5	$385	400	0	+400	Yes	+$15	06-29 23:25
starmer out by july 31 2026	3	$381	400	0	+400	Yes	+$19	06-21 23:14
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	4	$379	200	200	+0	No	+$1	07-06 03:26
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$315	300	100	+200	Yes	-$153	07-11 21:01
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	3	$295	300	0	+300	Yes	+$5	07-05 18:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$228	300	0	+300	Yes	+$72	07-13 14:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	07-01 17:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	08-12 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:03:26	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x21ccda…
10-24 12:01:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x07de34…
10-24 11:34:14	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x61f01b…
10-24 11:33:51	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xa60c90…
10-24 11:13:11	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x95cf3f…
10-23 16:58:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xd36aa3…
10-23 07:56:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xd4dd91…
10-13 05:36:48	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0xbc5694…
10-09 10:10:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$483	0x152eed…
10-01 08:26:27	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$976	0xb8bcc0…
09-27 19:48:18	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x29585d…
09-27 12:31:51	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x8cf78d…
09-24 22:01:59	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x356954…
09-24 19:10:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0xaff041…
09-24 04:06:20	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0xf23439…
09-21 15:21:49	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x33c756…
09-21 15:11:01	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xcae47c…
09-17 00:50:45	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xb2328f…
09-15 23:33:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0xf1ff70…
09-10 15:29:36	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x831377…
09-10 03:54:37	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xcf50cd…
08-31 12:37:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x05ff30…
08-30 23:50:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x1094d1…
08-24 20:01:15	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x04e61b…
08-24 09:14:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x744cf6…
08-24 06:36:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x606c54…
08-12 08:53:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe7221d…
08-11 07:06:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7a478b…
08-10 08:17:31	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1bf9d2…
08-10 01:01:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x2b4faa…
08-09 23:18:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x18a508…
08-09 22:22:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0xe62a5a…
08-09 22:22:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9bd10c…
08-09 22:16:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x5005fb…
08-09 21:50:54	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc4c45e…
08-09 21:30:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xdbbbcd…
08-09 21:27:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xb4d1e2…
08-09 21:22:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	271	88¢	$239	0xe85aa0…
08-09 21:16:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	163	83¢	$135	0xf0a7bb…
08-09 21:16:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	37	83¢	$31	0xb826d1…
08-09 21:13:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x671e7e…
08-09 21:12:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xab1a0e…
08-09 21:08:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xbae67f…
08-09 21:08:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x77ddf2…
08-09 21:08:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x3f71f1…
08-04 11:55:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	350	97¢	$340	0x59eb9a…
08-04 11:45:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x3f4923…
08-04 10:53:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xdefbc6…
08-04 10:49:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x0f2995…
08-04 07:09:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x20930f…
07-20 10:23:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x08c545…
07-13 15:01:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x8a37e2…
07-13 14:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xcb95b7…
07-12 15:12:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x2c040a…
07-12 15:12:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x34d4a5…
07-12 13:20:13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xd1e848…
07-11 21:01:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x34980e…
07-10 21:32:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xd64612…
07-10 15:58:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x129f75…
07-07 00:37:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xd4caee…
07-07 00:11:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0xd4a865…
07-07 00:11:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x8b60f9…
07-07 00:06:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x91bd67…
07-07 00:04:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x8ab1ff…
07-06 23:32:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x8b2c29…
07-06 22:45:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x2f830e…
07-06 22:25:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x5c9814…
07-06 22:23:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xe4a05c…
07-06 22:20:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x3ec856…
07-06 21:53:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xfc3e18…
07-06 21:37:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x74fcd5…
07-06 21:33:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x28eedd…
07-06 21:26:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xce2ee3…
07-06 21:02:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xcc99ee…
07-06 20:53:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xacffda…
07-06 03:26:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x0a3207…
07-06 03:12:41	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf0aa3b…
07-06 02:09:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb23ad3…
07-06 00:37:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe549df…
07-05 18:33:02	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x265942…
07-05 06:07:32	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x308cc2…
07-04 21:56:07	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x76c6a5…
07-03 03:27:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	58	25¢	$14	0xafb9aa…
07-03 03:27:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0x23f294…
07-03 01:52:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8df965…
07-03 01:52:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xf4f6c3…
07-03 01:40:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2509c8…
07-03 01:40:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ed361…
07-03 01:40:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x60bfe0…
07-03 01:29:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xa88b1c…
07-01 17:43:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x493943…
07-01 17:32:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x83e23f…
07-01 10:01:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xbdcfd7…
07-01 09:56:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xee940f…
07-01 09:43:04	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xd69403…
07-01 05:27:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x2a8d28…
07-01 05:25:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4c1ea5…
07-01 05:25:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x7a9e86…
07-01 05:10:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$293	0xaaaa4a…
06-30 22:58:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x842495…