Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

11,749

lifetime

Volume

$80.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-25 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

54% 64% +$8

Politics

31% 100% +$36

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	208	$953	3,038	3,038	+0	open	—	03-01 01:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$878	791	791	+0	open	—	04-19 13:00
will iran strike oman again in march	16	$850	659	659	+0	open	—	04-05 00:01
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	10	$673	548	548	+0	open	—	04-20 19:39
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	33	$660	1,559	1,559	+0	open	—	04-09 21:30
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	37	$631	682	682	+0	open	—	03-24 19:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	7	$623	554	554	+0	open	—	04-20 08:57
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	13	$605	620	620	+0	open	—	04-08 02:09
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	43	$604	518	518	+0	open	—	03-06 20:24
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	80	$571	761	777	-16	open	—	03-23 16:14
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	19	$518	545	545	+0	open	—	04-10 19:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	68	$511	1,357	1,357	+0	open	—	04-20 09:57
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	8	$498	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 21:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	26	$471	362	362	+0	open	—	04-08 11:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$431	516	516	+0	open	—	04-17 21:32
cs2 fal2 faze 2026 02 15	21	$420	268	221	+48	open	—	02-15 13:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	25	$402	394	394	+0	open	—	04-19 12:41
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	5	$394	261	261	+0	open	—	04-17 15:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	34	$367	1,594	1,228	+367	open	—	04-19 21:23
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	21	$354	444	296	+148	open	—	04-06 02:11
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	29	$338	205	205	+0	open	—	03-30 18:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	5	$336	665	665	+0	open	—	04-20 10:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	35	$333	446	446	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
will israel or the us target tehran 812	14	$328	243	340	-97	open	—	02-28 06:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	12	$328	277	277	+0	open	—	03-08 21:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$320	358	358	+0	open	—	04-19 17:07
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	58	$312	371	403	-31	open	—	03-30 18:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	27	$290	483	569	-86	open	—	02-28 07:10
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	41	$284	1,183	1,004	+180	open	—	03-06 15:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	41	$284	164	203	-38	open	—	03-04 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 14:03:41	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6b695e…
06-25 14:03:37	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xf347be…
06-25 14:03:01	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1ef1b3…
06-25 14:02:56	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x844187…
06-25 14:02:52	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5d1589…
06-25 14:02:47	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x325367…
06-25 14:02:34	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xada297…
06-25 14:02:19	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa2e8e2…
06-25 14:02:04	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xec11c4…
06-25 14:01:38	Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x6ad04d…
06-25 14:01:32	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xd30cf6…
06-08 11:49:46	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x85f0c0…
06-08 11:49:28	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x43039f…
06-08 11:49:21	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xd08ac5…
05-08 18:21:06	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe78d71…
05-08 18:20:42	Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xaa3aaa…
05-08 18:20:33	Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa57f8d…
04-25 05:05:30	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x932ba4…
04-25 05:05:20	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	SELL	183	21¢	$38	0xbbd64a…
04-21 12:22:48	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x564049…
04-21 11:34:48	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$6	0xcdfc4a…
04-21 09:08:08	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x3f5c01…
04-20 19:48:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	99	81¢	$81	0x9660c4…
04-20 19:41:38	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$49	0xb6d847…
04-20 19:39:38	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	225	69¢	$156	0x12c926…
04-20 16:46:26	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x10e555…
04-20 16:44:02	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xbfb61a…
04-20 16:43:40	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xf70b04…
04-20 14:40:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	129	76¢	$98	0x5d5fd2…
04-20 13:53:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x71a2b9…
04-20 13:52:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x405865…
04-20 13:17:06	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xbf3769…
04-20 12:49:04	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0x965b53…
04-20 11:28:46	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x89f045…
04-20 11:23:34	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa4759e…
04-20 11:09:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x3b97dc…
04-20 11:03:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0xb83a69…
04-20 11:01:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x4d2d74…
04-20 10:56:56	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5f31e…
04-20 10:54:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	366	19¢	$70	0x56ee58…
04-20 10:38:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	30¢	$20	0x4b49f6…
04-20 10:34:16	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	23	84¢	$19	0xb1c4d0…
04-20 10:31:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	129	68¢	$88	0x068472…
04-20 10:14:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x8bcf33…
04-20 10:07:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x0b971a…
04-20 10:03:06	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	44	24¢	$11	0x66b00a…
04-20 10:02:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x4183ca…
04-20 10:01:54	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x750509…
04-20 10:01:42	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xda2c98…
04-20 10:01:34	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x31dca8…
04-20 10:01:28	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xfca82c…
04-20 10:01:24	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0x36eddc…
04-20 10:00:22	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x95b55d…
04-20 10:00:02	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x007f12…
04-20 09:58:18	Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x4c1769…
04-20 09:58:14	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc13e4e…
04-20 09:57:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xee6c8f…
04-20 09:56:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	47	82¢	$39	0xc08d9c…
04-20 09:56:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0xb80b96…
04-20 09:55:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	109	34¢	$37	0x0fe127…
04-20 09:52:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9aa8e0…
04-20 09:52:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	342	31¢	$106	0x1878be…
04-20 09:52:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xb5faac…
04-20 09:51:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0xe22c47…
04-20 09:51:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x1a3dc4…
04-20 09:49:26	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	53	74¢	$39	0x69cf24…
04-20 09:46:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0xf02586…
04-20 09:45:52	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf94c0e…
04-20 09:43:14	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be less than 10m	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x9cacb1…
04-20 09:42:42	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 31m and 34m	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x8b2838…
04-20 09:42:32	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be less than 31m	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x799977…
04-20 09:25:46	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	39	50¢	$20	0xcaa488…
04-20 09:15:50	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	75	50¢	$37	0xca95cd…
04-20 09:14:06	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	45	76¢	$35	0x4d22b2…
04-20 09:06:46	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x2d85f4…
04-20 09:06:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6d501e…
04-20 09:05:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x227e07…
04-20 09:05:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	57¢	$26	0x3f785d…
04-20 09:04:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x5f5c4c…
04-20 09:04:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc27b7b…
04-20 09:04:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x41e50d…
04-20 09:04:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x1bc875…
04-20 09:03:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xe9a17a…
04-20 09:03:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xd10017…
04-20 08:58:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x148e45…
04-20 08:57:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	43¢	$130	0xc9c0ec…
04-20 08:57:10	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xbc9bdb…
04-20 08:57:04	Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9fa973…
04-20 08:56:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x38a7a1…
04-20 08:56:18	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	87	96¢	$84	0x95a661…
04-20 08:05:08	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x7310f5…
04-20 08:00:10	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x60b962…
04-20 07:55:58	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xfbaf85…
04-20 07:55:58	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1919e2…
04-20 07:55:02	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xd6c7f9…
04-20 07:55:02	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x5d4f1f…
04-20 07:43:00	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb77f7f…
04-20 07:38:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1badf7…
04-20 06:44:10	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x764c4f…
04-20 03:46:44	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x522bd3…