(anonymous) 0x50a3b6…140a78
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$673
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
3,050
Trades
11,766
lifetime
Volume
$80.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$177
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 08-31 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Other
54% 50% +$480
Politics
31% 57% +$80
Sports
8% 48% +$65
Crypto
7% 51% +$87
Tech
0% 43% -$75
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -97 -$41 66¢ $-64 -$23 06-25 14:01
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -50 -$34 86¢ $-43 -$9 06-25 14:01
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -38 -$10 40¢ $-15 -$6 06-25 14:01
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$10 95¢ $-12 -$2 06-08 11:49
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-11 -$1 05-03 18:31
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$7 95¢ $-9 -$2 06-25 14:02
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-6 -$1 06-25 14:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -158 -$10 3¢ $-5 +$6 06-08 11:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -27 -$3 16¢ $-4 -$2 06-25 14:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -4 -$2 68¢ $-3 -$1 06-25 14:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -4 -$2 68¢ $-3 -$1 06-25 14:03
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -6 -$5 11¢ $-1 +$4 06-25 14:02
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -15 -$12 2¢ $-0 +$12 06-08 11:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-25 14:03