Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
11,749
lifetime
Volume
$80.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$117
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-25 14:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
54% 64% +$8
Politics
31% 100% +$36
Sports
8%
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -50 $-34 73¢ $-37 $-2 06-25 14:01
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No -26 $-25 96¢ $-25 +$0 06-25 14:01
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -15 $-12 86¢ $-13 $-1 06-08 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-10 84¢ $-11 $-1 06-08 11:49
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-0 06-25 14:02
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 88¢ $-8 $-1 06-25 14:02
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -8 $-6 95¢ $-8 $-1 06-08 11:49
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6 $-5 82¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 14:02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-2 54¢ $-2 +$1 06-25 14:03