(anonymous) 0x50a3b6…140a78
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
11,749
lifetime
Volume
$80.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$133
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-25 14:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
54% 64% +$8
Politics
31% 100% +$36
Sports
8% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -50 $-34 70¢ $-35 $-1 06-25 14:01
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No -26 $-25 96¢ $-25 +$0 06-25 14:01
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -15 $-12 82¢ $-12 $-0 06-08 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-10 75¢ $-10 +$0 06-08 11:49
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No -9 $-9 98¢ $-9 $-0 06-25 14:02
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 78¢ $-7 $-0 06-25 14:02
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -8 $-6 88¢ $-7 $-1 06-08 11:49
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 14:02
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6 $-5 80¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 14:02
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 14:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-25 14:02
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-25 14:03
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 14:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-2 64¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 14:03